Radford Highlanders vs Longwood Lancers

This NCAAB matchup features Radford Highlanders (16-14 (12-5)) traveling to take on Longwood Lancers (15-15 (10-4)) at Joan Perry Brock Center, Farmville, VA. These two teams are closely matched, with both squads posting similar scoring differentials this season. This projects as a competitive contest that could go either way. Longwood averages 77.1 points per game, but they face a Radford defense that holds opponents to 78.1 PPG. The visitors' defensive prowess could limit the home team's scoring output. The Radford offense puts up 81.5 PPG and faces a Longwood defense allowing 73.7 PPG. The visitors have the offensive firepower to stay in this one. Home court advantage is worth approximately 3.5 points in NCAAB, and Longwood will look to leverage their home crowd. Our model projects Longwood to win by approximately 3.1 points. The 68% confidence interval ranges from Longwood winning by 16 to losing by 10. The market has this game at +1.5, but our model sees value on Longwood with a 4.6-point edge. Our line: Longwood -3.1. Combined with the total projection of 159 versus the market line of 153.5, there are opportunities to find value on both sides of this matchup.

Longwood enters at 15-15 (10-4), hovering around the .500 mark. They've shown flashes of strong play but haven't been able to sustain consistency. At home, they'll look to put together a complete performance and build momentum. Radford sits at 16-14 (12-5) on the season. They've been competitive in most outings but have had their share of inconsistent performances. On the road, they'll need to bring their best effort to come away with a win. When these teams meet, the home team typically has the edge given the crowd advantage and familiarity factor. The team that controls tempo and limits turnovers will likely dictate the outcome of this matchup.