Queens University Royals vs Central Arkansas Bears

This NCAAB matchup features Queens University Royals (18-12 (12-2)) traveling to take on Central Arkansas Bears (19-11 (13-1)) at Farris Center, Conway, AR. The C Arkansas hold a clear statistical edge this season, outperforming the Queens by 4.5 points per game in scoring margin. That differential will be a key factor in this matchup. C Arkansas averages 80.4 points per game, but they face a Queens defense that holds opponents to 83.2 PPG. The visitors' defensive prowess could limit the home team's scoring output. The Queens offense puts up 84.9 PPG and faces a C Arkansas defense allowing 74.3 PPG. The visitors have the offensive firepower to stay in this one. Home court advantage is worth approximately 3.5 points in NCAAB, and C Arkansas will look to leverage their home crowd. Our model projects C Arkansas to win by approximately 7.6 points. The 68% confidence interval ranges from C Arkansas winning by 20 to losing by 5. The market has this game at -2.5, but our model sees value on C Arkansas with a 5.2-point edge. Our line: C Arkansas -7.6. Combined with the total projection of 165 versus the market line of 164.5, there are opportunities to find value on both sides of this matchup.

C Arkansas enters at 19-11 (13-1), hovering around the .500 mark. They've shown flashes of strong play but haven't been able to sustain consistency. At home, they'll look to put together a complete performance and build momentum. Queens sits at 18-12 (12-2) on the season. They've been competitive in most outings but have had their share of inconsistent performances. On the road, they'll need to bring their best effort to come away with a win. When these teams meet, the home team typically has the edge given the crowd advantage and familiarity factor. The team that controls tempo and limits turnovers will likely dictate the outcome of this matchup.