Ole Miss Rebels vs Auburn Tigers

This NCAAB matchup features Ole Miss Rebels (11-17 (7-7)) traveling to take on Auburn Tigers (15-13 (10-3)) at Neville Arena, Auburn, AL. The Auburn hold a clear statistical edge this season, outperforming the Ole Miss by 4.5 points per game in scoring margin. That differential will be a key factor in this matchup. On offense, Auburn averages 83.5 points per game, which exceeds what the Ole Miss defense typically allows (75.8 PPG). That mismatch could give the home side opportunities to exploit. Meanwhile, Ole Miss scores 75.1 PPG but faces a Auburn defense that limits opponents to 79.7 PPG. The home team's defensive effort could be the difference-maker. Home court advantage is worth approximately 3.5 points in NCAAB, and Auburn will look to leverage their home crowd. Our model projects Auburn to win by approximately 4.1 points. The 68% confidence interval ranges from Auburn winning by 17 to losing by 9. The market has this game at -10.5, but our model sees value on Ole Miss with a 6.4-point edge. Our line: Auburn -4.1. Combined with the total projection of 159 versus the market line of 152.5, there are opportunities to find value on both sides of this matchup.

Auburn enters at 15-13 (10-3), hovering around the .500 mark. They've shown flashes of strong play but haven't been able to sustain consistency. At home, they'll look to put together a complete performance and build momentum. It's been a difficult season for Ole Miss at 11-17 (7-7). Traveling to face Auburn presents a significant challenge, though every game is a chance to build for the future. When these teams meet, the home team typically has the edge given the crowd advantage and familiarity factor. The team that controls tempo and limits turnovers will likely dictate the outcome of this matchup.