Norfolk State Spartans vs Coppin State Eagles

This NCAAB matchup features Norfolk State Spartans (14-14 (9-3)) traveling to take on Coppin State Eagles (7-21 (3-5)) at Physical Education Complex, Baltimore, MD. The Norfolk St hold a clear statistical edge this season, outperforming the Coppin St by 18.9 points per game in scoring margin. That differential will be a key factor in this matchup. Coppin St averages 65.2 points per game, but they face a Norfolk St defense that holds opponents to 72.5 PPG. The visitors' defensive prowess could limit the home team's scoring output. Meanwhile, Norfolk St scores 76.0 PPG but faces a Coppin St defense that limits opponents to 80.6 PPG. The home team's defensive effort could be the difference-maker. Home court advantage is worth approximately 3.5 points in NCAAB, and Coppin St will look to leverage their home crowd. Our model projects Norfolk St to win by approximately 6.0 points. The 68% confidence interval ranges from Coppin St winning by 7 to losing by 19. The market has this game at +8.5, but our model sees value on Coppin St with a 2.5-point edge. Our line: Coppin St +6.0. Combined with the total projection of 141 versus the market line of 142.5, there are opportunities to find value on both sides of this matchup.

Coppin St has struggled this season at 7-21 (3-5). The wins have been hard to come by, and the team is looking for answers on both ends of the floor. Home court advantage will be critical for any chance at pulling off an upset. Norfolk St sits at 14-14 (9-3) on the season. They've been competitive in most outings but have had their share of inconsistent performances. On the road, they'll need to bring their best effort to come away with a win. When these teams meet, the home team typically has the edge given the crowd advantage and familiarity factor. The team that controls tempo and limits turnovers will likely dictate the outcome of this matchup.