New Hampshire Wildcats vs UAlbany Great Danes
Saturday, February 28, 2026
Matchup Analysis
This NCAAB matchup features New Hampshire Wildcats (8-19 (7-5)) traveling to take on UAlbany Great Danes (10-19 (5-5)) at Broadview Center, Albany, NY. The UAlbany hold a clear statistical edge this season, outperforming the New Hampshire by 3.6 points per game in scoring margin. That differential will be a key factor in this matchup.
UAlbany averages 72.0 points per game, but they face a New Hampshire defense that holds opponents to 73.6 PPG. The visitors' defensive prowess could limit the home team's scoring output. Meanwhile, New Hampshire scores 68.8 PPG but faces a UAlbany defense that limits opponents to 73.1 PPG. The home team's defensive effort could be the difference-maker.
Home court advantage is worth approximately 3.5 points in NCAAB, and UAlbany will look to leverage their home crowd. Our model projects UAlbany to win by approximately 4.1 points. The 68% confidence interval ranges from UAlbany winning by 17 to losing by 9.
Our model aligns closely with the market on this one, suggesting the oddsmakers have priced this game efficiently. Look for small edges in the total and moneyline markets to capitalize on any remaining value.
Team Comparison
UNH New Hampshire
Stat
UALB UAlbany
8-19 (7-5)
Record
10-19 (5-5)
Last 10
68.8
PPG
72.0
73.6
Opp PPG
73.1
Current Odds
| Team | Moneyline | Spread | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| UNH New Hampshire Wildcats | 0 ↓ | +2.5 ↓ | O 140.5 |
| UALB UAlbany Great Danes | 0 ↑ | -2.5 ↑ | U 140.5 |
Source: Draft Kings Updated: Feb 28, 5:43 AM
Opening line: -3.5 / O/U 140.5
Model Projection
| Team | Moneyline | Spread | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| UNH New Hampshire Wildcats | +191 | +4.1 | O 140.8 |
| UALB UAlbany Great Danes | -191 | -4.1 | U 140.8 |
Source: Model Updated: Feb 28, 5:03 AM
Our Picks
Spread
Pass
Model: -4.1 | Edge below threshold
Total
Pass
Model: 140.8 | Edge below threshold
Recent Trends
UAlbany has struggled this season at 10-19 (5-5). The wins have been hard to come by, and the team is looking for answers on both ends of the floor. Home court advantage will be critical for any chance at pulling off an upset.
It's been a difficult season for New Hampshire at 8-19 (7-5). Traveling to face UAlbany presents a significant challenge, though every game is a chance to build for the future.
When these teams meet, the home team typically has the edge given the crowd advantage and familiarity factor. The team that controls tempo and limits turnovers will likely dictate the outcome of this matchup.
Matchup Edges
UAlbany
Advantages
- Home court advantage and crowd support
- Familiarity with home venue and routines
Disadvantages
- Sub-.500 record at 10-19 (5-5) raises concerns
- Potential for inconsistency in key moments
New Hampshire
Advantages
- Nothing to lose as the visiting team
- Road underdog motivation — play with less pressure
Disadvantages
- Playing on the road without home crowd support
- Struggling with a 8-19 (7-5) record this season