12 Nebraska Cornhuskers vs USC Trojans

This NCAAB matchup features No. 12 Nebraska Cornhuskers (24-4 (15-2)) traveling to take on USC Trojans (18-10 (9-5)) at Galen Center, Los Angeles, CA. The Nebraska hold a clear statistical edge this season, outperforming the USC by 10.2 points per game in scoring margin. That differential will be a key factor in this matchup. On offense, USC averages 79.6 points per game, which exceeds what the Nebraska defense typically allows (65.4 PPG). That mismatch could give the home side opportunities to exploit. The Nebraska offense puts up 78.5 PPG and faces a USC defense allowing 76.8 PPG. The visitors have the offensive firepower to stay in this one. Home court advantage is worth approximately 3.5 points in NCAAB, and USC will look to leverage their home crowd. Our model projects Nebraska to win by approximately 3.3 points. The 68% confidence interval ranges from USC winning by 9 to losing by 16. Our model aligns closely with the market on this one, suggesting the oddsmakers have priced this game efficiently. Look for small edges in the total and moneyline markets to capitalize on any remaining value.

USC enters at 18-10 (9-5), hovering around the .500 mark. They've shown flashes of strong play but haven't been able to sustain consistency. At home, they'll look to put together a complete performance and build momentum. Nebraska comes in with an impressive 24-4 (15-2) record. They've been among the best teams in their conference and are playing with the confidence of a squad that expects to win. Road games can be tricky, but this team has the poise to handle hostile environments. When these teams meet, the home team typically has the edge given the crowd advantage and familiarity factor. The team that controls tempo and limits turnovers will likely dictate the outcome of this matchup.