NC State Wolfpack vs Notre Dame Fighting Irish

This NCAAB matchup features NC State Wolfpack (19-9 (11-4)) traveling to take on Notre Dame Fighting Irish (12-16 (9-6)) at Purcell Pavilion, South Bend, IN. The NC State hold a clear statistical edge this season, outperforming the Notre Dame by 10.2 points per game in scoring margin. That differential will be a key factor in this matchup. Notre Dame averages 73.8 points per game, but they face a NC State defense that holds opponents to 74.4 PPG. The visitors' defensive prowess could limit the home team's scoring output. The NC State offense puts up 84.0 PPG and faces a Notre Dame defense allowing 74.4 PPG. The visitors have the offensive firepower to stay in this one. Home court advantage is worth approximately 3.5 points in NCAAB, and Notre Dame will look to leverage their home crowd. Our model projects NC State to win by approximately 6.0 points. The 68% confidence interval ranges from Notre Dame winning by 7 to losing by 19. Our model aligns closely with the market on this one, suggesting the oddsmakers have priced this game efficiently. Look for small edges in the total and moneyline markets to capitalize on any remaining value.

Notre Dame has struggled this season at 12-16 (9-6). The wins have been hard to come by, and the team is looking for answers on both ends of the floor. Home court advantage will be critical for any chance at pulling off an upset. NC State sits at 19-9 (11-4) on the season. They've been competitive in most outings but have had their share of inconsistent performances. On the road, they'll need to bring their best effort to come away with a win. When these teams meet, the home team typically has the edge given the crowd advantage and familiarity factor. The team that controls tempo and limits turnovers will likely dictate the outcome of this matchup.