SharpBetz
NCAAB

Maine Black Bears vs Binghamton Bearcats

Saturday, February 28, 2026

Matchup Analysis

This NCAAB matchup features Maine Black Bears (8-21 (4-7)) traveling to take on Binghamton Bearcats (7-23 (6-8)) at Events Center (Binghamton), Binghamton, NY. These two teams are closely matched, with both squads posting similar scoring differentials this season. This projects as a competitive contest that could go either way. Binghamton averages 67.7 points per game, but they face a Maine defense that holds opponents to 68.6 PPG. The visitors' defensive prowess could limit the home team's scoring output. Meanwhile, Maine scores 62.8 PPG but faces a Binghamton defense that limits opponents to 75.1 PPG. The home team's defensive effort could be the difference-maker. Home court advantage is worth approximately 3.5 points in NCAAB, and Binghamton will look to leverage their home crowd. Our model sees this as essentially a coin-flip game, projecting just a 1.4-point margin. Expect a tight finish. The 68% confidence interval ranges from Binghamton winning by 14 to losing by 11. Our model aligns closely with the market on this one, suggesting the oddsmakers have priced this game efficiently. Look for small edges in the total and moneyline markets to capitalize on any remaining value.

Team Comparison

ME Maine
Stat
BING Binghamton
8-21 (4-7)
Record
7-23 (6-8)
Last 10
62.8
PPG
67.7
68.6
Opp PPG
75.1

Current Odds

Team Moneyline Spread Total
ME Maine Black Bears
-105 +1.5 O 132.5
BING Binghamton Bearcats
-115 -1.5 U 132.5
Source: Draft Kings Updated: Feb 28, 5:43 AM
Opening line: -1.5 / O/U 132.5

Model Projection

Team Moneyline Spread Total
ME Maine Black Bears
+124 +1.4 O 130.5
BING Binghamton Bearcats
-124 -1.4 U 130.5
Source: Model Updated: Feb 28, 5:03 AM

Our Picks

Spread
Pass
Model: -1.4 | Edge below threshold
Total
Pass
Model: 130.5 | Edge below threshold

Recent Trends

Binghamton has struggled this season at 7-23 (6-8). The wins have been hard to come by, and the team is looking for answers on both ends of the floor. Home court advantage will be critical for any chance at pulling off an upset. It's been a difficult season for Maine at 8-21 (4-7). Traveling to face Binghamton presents a significant challenge, though every game is a chance to build for the future. When these teams meet, the home team typically has the edge given the crowd advantage and familiarity factor. The team that controls tempo and limits turnovers will likely dictate the outcome of this matchup.

Matchup Edges

Binghamton

Advantages

  • Home court advantage and crowd support
  • Familiarity with home venue and routines

Disadvantages

  • Sub-.500 record at 7-23 (6-8) raises concerns
  • Defense allows 75.1 PPG — a vulnerability

Maine

Advantages

  • Nothing to lose as the visiting team
  • Road underdog motivation — play with less pressure

Disadvantages

  • Playing on the road without home crowd support
  • Struggling with a 8-21 (4-7) record this season

More NCAAB Picks for Saturday, February 28, 2026