Loyola Maryland Greyhounds vs Holy Cross Crusaders

This NCAAB matchup features Loyola Maryland Greyhounds (11-19 (8-6)) traveling to take on Holy Cross Crusaders (10-20 (6-7)) at Hart Center, Worcester, MA. The Loyola MD hold a clear statistical edge this season, outperforming the Holy Cross by 3.2 points per game in scoring margin. That differential will be a key factor in this matchup. Holy Cross averages 68.0 points per game, but they face a Loyola MD defense that holds opponents to 77.1 PPG. The visitors' defensive prowess could limit the home team's scoring output. The Loyola MD offense puts up 75.1 PPG and faces a Holy Cross defense allowing 73.2 PPG. The visitors have the offensive firepower to stay in this one. Home court advantage is worth approximately 3.5 points in NCAAB, and Holy Cross will look to leverage their home crowd. Our model sees this as essentially a coin-flip game, projecting just a 0.8-point margin. Expect a tight finish. The 68% confidence interval ranges from Holy Cross winning by 14 to losing by 12. Our model aligns closely with the market on this one, suggesting the oddsmakers have priced this game efficiently. Look for small edges in the total and moneyline markets to capitalize on any remaining value.

Holy Cross has struggled this season at 10-20 (6-7). The wins have been hard to come by, and the team is looking for answers on both ends of the floor. Home court advantage will be critical for any chance at pulling off an upset. It's been a difficult season for Loyola MD at 11-19 (8-6). Traveling to face Holy Cross presents a significant challenge, though every game is a chance to build for the future. When these teams meet, the home team typically has the edge given the crowd advantage and familiarity factor. The team that controls tempo and limits turnovers will likely dictate the outcome of this matchup.