Le Moyne Dolphins vs New Haven Chargers

This NCAAB matchup features Le Moyne Dolphins (15-15 (9-3)) traveling to take on New Haven Chargers (13-17 (8-6)) at Jeffery P. Hazell Athletics Center, West Haven, CT. These two teams are closely matched, with both squads posting similar scoring differentials this season. This projects as a competitive contest that could go either way. New Haven averages 64.9 points per game, but they face a Le Moyne defense that holds opponents to 73.1 PPG. The visitors' defensive prowess could limit the home team's scoring output. The Le Moyne offense puts up 73.5 PPG and faces a New Haven defense allowing 66.5 PPG. The visitors have the offensive firepower to stay in this one. Home court advantage is worth approximately 3.5 points in NCAAB, and New Haven will look to leverage their home crowd. Our model sees this as essentially a coin-flip game, projecting just a 1.9-point margin. Expect a tight finish. The 68% confidence interval ranges from New Haven winning by 15 to losing by 11. The market has this game at +1.5, but our model sees value on New Haven with a 3.4-point edge. Our line: New Haven -1.9. Combined with the total projection of 138 versus the market line of 135.5, there are opportunities to find value on both sides of this matchup.

New Haven has struggled this season at 13-17 (8-6). The wins have been hard to come by, and the team is looking for answers on both ends of the floor. Home court advantage will be critical for any chance at pulling off an upset. Le Moyne sits at 15-15 (9-3) on the season. They've been competitive in most outings but have had their share of inconsistent performances. On the road, they'll need to bring their best effort to come away with a win. When these teams meet, the home team typically has the edge given the crowd advantage and familiarity factor. The team that controls tempo and limits turnovers will likely dictate the outcome of this matchup.