Jackson State Tigers vs Texas Southern Tigers

This NCAAB matchup features Jackson State Tigers (9-19 (5-3)) traveling to take on Texas Southern Tigers (11-16 (8-4)) at H&PE Arena, Houston, TX. The Texas Southern hold a clear statistical edge this season, outperforming the Jackson St by 11.8 points per game in scoring margin. That differential will be a key factor in this matchup. Texas Southern averages 75.4 points per game, but they face a Jackson St defense that holds opponents to 85.4 PPG. The visitors' defensive prowess could limit the home team's scoring output. Meanwhile, Jackson St scores 70.2 PPG but faces a Texas Southern defense that limits opponents to 78.8 PPG. The home team's defensive effort could be the difference-maker. Home court advantage is worth approximately 3.5 points in NCAAB, and Texas Southern will look to leverage their home crowd. Our model projects Texas Southern to win by approximately 8.4 points. The 68% confidence interval ranges from Texas Southern winning by 21 to losing by 4. The market has this game at -5.5, but our model sees value on Texas Southern with a 2.9-point edge. Our line: Texas Southern -8.4. Combined with the total projection of 146 versus the market line of 151.5, there are opportunities to find value on both sides of this matchup.

Texas Southern has struggled this season at 11-16 (8-4). The wins have been hard to come by, and the team is looking for answers on both ends of the floor. Home court advantage will be critical for any chance at pulling off an upset. It's been a difficult season for Jackson St at 9-19 (5-3). Traveling to face Texas Southern presents a significant challenge, though every game is a chance to build for the future. When these teams meet, the home team typically has the edge given the crowd advantage and familiarity factor. The team that controls tempo and limits turnovers will likely dictate the outcome of this matchup.