Fairleigh Dickinson Knights vs Long Island University Sharks

This NCAAB matchup features Fairleigh Dickinson Knights (11-19 (8-6)) traveling to take on Long Island University Sharks (20-10 (10-1)) at Steinberg Wellness Center, Brooklyn, NY. The Long Island hold a clear statistical edge this season, outperforming the FDU by 4.6 points per game in scoring margin. That differential will be a key factor in this matchup. On offense, Long Island averages 74.1 points per game, which exceeds what the FDU defense typically allows (70.0 PPG). That mismatch could give the home side opportunities to exploit. Meanwhile, FDU scores 67.6 PPG but faces a Long Island defense that limits opponents to 71.9 PPG. The home team's defensive effort could be the difference-maker. Home court advantage is worth approximately 3.5 points in NCAAB, and Long Island will look to leverage their home crowd. Our model projects Long Island to win by approximately 3.9 points. The 68% confidence interval ranges from Long Island winning by 17 to losing by 9. The market has this game at -9.5, but our model sees value on FDU with a 5.6-point edge. Our line: Long Island -3.9. Combined with the total projection of 142 versus the market line of 136.5, there are opportunities to find value on both sides of this matchup.

Long Island enters at 20-10 (10-1), hovering around the .500 mark. They've shown flashes of strong play but haven't been able to sustain consistency. At home, they'll look to put together a complete performance and build momentum. It's been a difficult season for FDU at 11-19 (8-6). Traveling to face Long Island presents a significant challenge, though every game is a chance to build for the future. When these teams meet, the home team typically has the edge given the crowd advantage and familiarity factor. The team that controls tempo and limits turnovers will likely dictate the outcome of this matchup.