Elon Phoenix vs Monmouth Hawks

This NCAAB matchup features Elon Phoenix (14-15 (8-7)) traveling to take on Monmouth Hawks (15-14 (9-4)) at OceanFirst Bank Center, West Long Branch, NJ. These two teams are closely matched, with both squads posting similar scoring differentials this season. This projects as a competitive contest that could go either way. Monmouth averages 72.4 points per game, but they face a Elon defense that holds opponents to 78.3 PPG. The visitors' defensive prowess could limit the home team's scoring output. The Elon offense puts up 80.1 PPG and faces a Monmouth defense allowing 71.5 PPG. The visitors have the offensive firepower to stay in this one. Home court advantage is worth approximately 3.5 points in NCAAB, and Monmouth will look to leverage their home crowd. Our model projects Monmouth to win by approximately 5.6 points. The 68% confidence interval ranges from Monmouth winning by 18 to losing by 7. The market has this game at -3.5, but our model sees value on Monmouth with a 2.1-point edge. Our line: Monmouth -5.6. Combined with the total projection of 153 versus the market line of 153.5, there are opportunities to find value on both sides of this matchup.

Monmouth enters at 15-14 (9-4), hovering around the .500 mark. They've shown flashes of strong play but haven't been able to sustain consistency. At home, they'll look to put together a complete performance and build momentum. It's been a difficult season for Elon at 14-15 (8-7). Traveling to face Monmouth presents a significant challenge, though every game is a chance to build for the future. When these teams meet, the home team typically has the edge given the crowd advantage and familiarity factor. The team that controls tempo and limits turnovers will likely dictate the outcome of this matchup.