SharpBetz
NCAAB

Delaware Blue Hens vs Kennesaw State Owls

Saturday, February 28, 2026

Matchup Analysis

This NCAAB matchup features Delaware Blue Hens (9-19 (4-9)) traveling to take on Kennesaw State Owls (17-11 (12-3)) at VyStar Arena, Kennesaw, GA. The Kennesaw St hold a clear statistical edge this season, outperforming the Delaware by 13.2 points per game in scoring margin. That differential will be a key factor in this matchup. On offense, Kennesaw St averages 84.0 points per game, which exceeds what the Delaware defense typically allows (72.9 PPG). That mismatch could give the home side opportunities to exploit. Meanwhile, Delaware scores 67.7 PPG but faces a Kennesaw St defense that limits opponents to 76.0 PPG. The home team's defensive effort could be the difference-maker. Home court advantage is worth approximately 3.5 points in NCAAB, and Kennesaw St will look to leverage their home crowd. Our model projects Kennesaw St to win by approximately 8.1 points. The 68% confidence interval ranges from Kennesaw St winning by 21 to losing by 5. The market has this game at -11.5, but our model sees value on Delaware with a 3.4-point edge. Our line: Kennesaw St -8.1. Combined with the total projection of 152 versus the market line of 144.5, there are opportunities to find value on both sides of this matchup.

Team Comparison

DEL Delaware
Stat
KENN Kennesaw St
9-19 (4-9)
Record
17-11 (12-3)
Last 10
67.7
PPG
84.0
72.9
Opp PPG
76.0

Current Odds

Team Moneyline Spread Total
DEL Delaware Blue Hens
+2254 +11.5 O 144.5
KENN Kennesaw State Owls
-2254 -11.5 U 144.5
Source: Draft Kings Updated: Feb 28, 5:04 AM
Opening line: -11.5 / O/U 144.5

Model Projection

Team Moneyline Spread Total
DEL Delaware Blue Hens
+340 +8.1 O 151.6
KENN Kennesaw State Owls
-340 -8.1 U 151.6
Source: Model Updated: Feb 28, 5:44 AM

Our Picks

Spread
Delaware (opened at -11.5)
54% Confidence

Play to -8.8

Total
Over (opened at 144.5)
64% Confidence

Play to 150.9

Recent Trends

Kennesaw St enters at 17-11 (12-3), hovering around the .500 mark. They've shown flashes of strong play but haven't been able to sustain consistency. At home, they'll look to put together a complete performance and build momentum. It's been a difficult season for Delaware at 9-19 (4-9). Traveling to face Kennesaw St presents a significant challenge, though every game is a chance to build for the future. When these teams meet, the home team typically has the edge given the crowd advantage and familiarity factor. The team that controls tempo and limits turnovers will likely dictate the outcome of this matchup.

Matchup Edges

Kennesaw St

Advantages

  • Strong 17-11 (12-3) overall record this season
  • Home court advantage and crowd support
  • Strong offense averaging 84.0 PPG

Disadvantages

  • Defense allows 76.0 PPG — a vulnerability
  • Potential for inconsistency in key moments

Delaware

Advantages

  • Nothing to lose as the visiting team
  • Road underdog motivation — play with less pressure

Disadvantages

  • Playing on the road without home crowd support
  • Struggling with a 9-19 (4-9) record this season

More NCAAB Picks for Saturday, February 28, 2026