Dartmouth Big Green vs Princeton Tigers

This NCAAB matchup features Dartmouth Big Green (11-14 (5-7)) traveling to take on Princeton Tigers (8-19 (7-4)) at Jadwin Gymnasium, Princeton, NJ. The Dartmouth hold a clear statistical edge this season, outperforming the Princeton by 3.9 points per game in scoring margin. That differential will be a key factor in this matchup. Princeton averages 69.2 points per game, but they face a Dartmouth defense that holds opponents to 75.1 PPG. The visitors' defensive prowess could limit the home team's scoring output. The Dartmouth offense puts up 76.0 PPG and faces a Princeton defense allowing 72.1 PPG. The visitors have the offensive firepower to stay in this one. Home court advantage is worth approximately 3.5 points in NCAAB, and Princeton will look to leverage their home crowd. Our model sees this as essentially a coin-flip game, projecting just a 0.3-point margin. Expect a tight finish. The 68% confidence interval ranges from Princeton winning by 13 to losing by 12. Our model aligns closely with the market on this one, suggesting the oddsmakers have priced this game efficiently. Look for small edges in the total and moneyline markets to capitalize on any remaining value.

Princeton has struggled this season at 8-19 (7-4). The wins have been hard to come by, and the team is looking for answers on both ends of the floor. Home court advantage will be critical for any chance at pulling off an upset. It's been a difficult season for Dartmouth at 11-14 (5-7). Traveling to face Princeton presents a significant challenge, though every game is a chance to build for the future. When these teams meet, the home team typically has the edge given the crowd advantage and familiarity factor. The team that controls tempo and limits turnovers will likely dictate the outcome of this matchup.