Army Black Knights vs Lafayette Leopards

This NCAAB matchup features Army Black Knights (11-19 (6-10)) traveling to take on Lafayette Leopards (10-20 (5-9)) at Kirby Sports Center, Easton, PA. These two teams are closely matched, with both squads posting similar scoring differentials this season. This projects as a competitive contest that could go either way. Lafayette averages 68.7 points per game, but they face a Army defense that holds opponents to 77.4 PPG. The visitors' defensive prowess could limit the home team's scoring output. Meanwhile, Army scores 72.6 PPG but faces a Lafayette defense that limits opponents to 74.1 PPG. The home team's defensive effort could be the difference-maker. Home court advantage is worth approximately 3.5 points in NCAAB, and Lafayette will look to leverage their home crowd. Our model sees this as essentially a coin-flip game, projecting just a 1.4-point margin. Expect a tight finish. The 68% confidence interval ranges from Lafayette winning by 14 to losing by 11. The market has this game at -3.5, but our model sees value on Army with a 2.1-point edge. Our line: Lafayette -1.4. Combined with the total projection of 141 versus the market line of 143.5, there are opportunities to find value on both sides of this matchup.

Lafayette has struggled this season at 10-20 (5-9). The wins have been hard to come by, and the team is looking for answers on both ends of the floor. Home court advantage will be critical for any chance at pulling off an upset. It's been a difficult season for Army at 11-19 (6-10). Traveling to face Lafayette presents a significant challenge, though every game is a chance to build for the future. When these teams meet, the home team typically has the edge given the crowd advantage and familiarity factor. The team that controls tempo and limits turnovers will likely dictate the outcome of this matchup.