SharpBetz
NCAAB

Milwaukee Panthers vs Detroit Mercy Titans

Saturday, February 21, 2026

Final Score Milwaukee 86 - Detroit Mercy 91
Spread: Total: L

Matchup Analysis

This NCAAB matchup features Milwaukee Panthers (11-17 (8-6)) traveling to take on Detroit Mercy Titans (12-13 (6-5)) at Calihan Hall, Detroit, MI. These two teams are closely matched, with both squads posting similar scoring differentials this season. This projects as a competitive contest that could go either way. On offense, Detroit Mercy averages 74.6 points per game, which exceeds what the Milwaukee defense typically allows (74.1 PPG). That mismatch could give the home side opportunities to exploit. The Milwaukee offense puts up 72.9 PPG and faces a Detroit Mercy defense allowing 72.8 PPG. The visitors have the offensive firepower to stay in this one. Home court advantage is worth approximately 3.5 points in NCAAB, and Detroit Mercy will look to leverage their home crowd. Our model projects Detroit Mercy to win by approximately 3.8 points. The 68% confidence interval ranges from Detroit Mercy winning by 17 to losing by 10. Our model aligns closely with the market on this one, suggesting the oddsmakers have priced this game efficiently. Look for small edges in the total and moneyline markets to capitalize on any remaining value.

Team Comparison

MILW Milwaukee
Stat
DETM Detroit Mercy
11-17 (8-6)
Record
12-13 (6-5)
Last 10
72.9
PPG
74.6
74.1
Opp PPG
72.8

Current Odds

Team Moneyline Spread Total
MILW Milwaukee Panthers
-118 -1.5 O 153.5
DETM Detroit Mercy Titans
-102 +1.5 U 153.5
Source: Draft Kings Updated: Feb 21, 4:11 AM
Opening line: -2.5 / O/U 152.5

Model Projection

Team Moneyline Spread Total
MILW Milwaukee Panthers
+186 +3.8 O 147.5
DETM Detroit Mercy Titans
-186 -3.8 U 147.5
Source: Model Updated: Feb 20, 11:18 AM

Our Picks

Spread
Pass
Model: -3.8 | Edge below threshold
Total L
Under (opened at 152.5)
60% Confidence

Recent Trends

Detroit Mercy has struggled this season at 12-13 (6-5). The wins have been hard to come by, and the team is looking for answers on both ends of the floor. Home court advantage will be critical for any chance at pulling off an upset. It's been a difficult season for Milwaukee at 11-17 (8-6). Traveling to face Detroit Mercy presents a significant challenge, though every game is a chance to build for the future. When these teams meet, the home team typically has the edge given the crowd advantage and familiarity factor. The team that controls tempo and limits turnovers will likely dictate the outcome of this matchup.

Matchup Edges

Detroit Mercy

Advantages

  • Home court advantage and crowd support
  • Familiarity with home venue and routines

Disadvantages

  • Sub-.500 record at 12-13 (6-5) raises concerns
  • Potential for inconsistency in key moments

Milwaukee

Advantages

  • Nothing to lose as the visiting team
  • Road underdog motivation — play with less pressure

Disadvantages

  • Playing on the road without home crowd support
  • Struggling with a 11-17 (8-6) record this season