14 Virginia Cavaliers vs Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets

This NCAAB matchup features No. 14 Virginia Cavaliers (23-3 (12-1)) traveling to take on Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets (11-16 (10-7)) at McCamish Pavilion, Atlanta, GA. The Virginia hold a clear statistical edge this season, outperforming the Georgia Tech by 16.8 points per game in scoring margin. That differential will be a key factor in this matchup. On offense, Georgia Tech averages 73.1 points per game, which exceeds what the Virginia defense typically allows (66.7 PPG). That mismatch could give the home side opportunities to exploit. The Virginia offense puts up 82.7 PPG and faces a Georgia Tech defense allowing 73.9 PPG. The visitors have the offensive firepower to stay in this one. Home court advantage is worth approximately 3.5 points in NCAAB, and Georgia Tech will look to leverage their home crowd. Our model projects Virginia to win by approximately 7.8 points. The 68% confidence interval ranges from Georgia Tech winning by 5 to losing by 20. Our model aligns closely with the market on this one, suggesting the oddsmakers have priced this game efficiently. Look for small edges in the total and moneyline markets to capitalize on any remaining value.

Georgia Tech has struggled this season at 11-16 (10-7). The wins have been hard to come by, and the team is looking for answers on both ends of the floor. Home court advantage will be critical for any chance at pulling off an upset. Virginia comes in with an impressive 23-3 (12-1) record. They've been among the best teams in their conference and are playing with the confidence of a squad that expects to win. Road games can be tricky, but this team has the poise to handle hostile environments. When these teams meet, the home team typically has the edge given the crowd advantage and familiarity factor. The team that controls tempo and limits turnovers will likely dictate the outcome of this matchup.