VMI Keydets vs Wofford Terriers

This NCAAB matchup features VMI Keydets (6-22 (5-8)) traveling to take on Wofford Terriers (18-10 (10-3)) at Jerry Richardson Indoor Stadium, Spartanburg, SC. The Wofford hold a clear statistical edge this season, outperforming the VMI by 15.0 points per game in scoring margin. That differential will be a key factor in this matchup. On offense, Wofford averages 77.9 points per game, which exceeds what the VMI defense typically allows (76.8 PPG). That mismatch could give the home side opportunities to exploit. Meanwhile, VMI scores 69.3 PPG but faces a Wofford defense that limits opponents to 70.4 PPG. The home team's defensive effort could be the difference-maker. Home court advantage is worth approximately 3.5 points in NCAAB, and Wofford will look to leverage their home crowd. The Wofford are heavy favorites in this one, with our model projecting a 13.9-point advantage. The 68% confidence interval ranges from Wofford winning by 26 to winning by 1. Our model aligns closely with the market on this one, suggesting the oddsmakers have priced this game efficiently. Look for small edges in the total and moneyline markets to capitalize on any remaining value.

Wofford enters at 18-10 (10-3), hovering around the .500 mark. They've shown flashes of strong play but haven't been able to sustain consistency. At home, they'll look to put together a complete performance and build momentum. It's been a difficult season for VMI at 6-22 (5-8). Traveling to face Wofford presents a significant challenge, though every game is a chance to build for the future. When these teams meet, the home team typically has the edge given the crowd advantage and familiarity factor. The team that controls tempo and limits turnovers will likely dictate the outcome of this matchup.