Rutgers Scarlet Knights vs Penn State Nittany Lions

This NCAAB matchup features Rutgers Scarlet Knights (11-15 (9-6)) traveling to take on Penn State Nittany Lions (11-16 (8-7)) at Bryce Jordan Center, University Park, PA. These two teams are closely matched, with both squads posting similar scoring differentials this season. This projects as a competitive contest that could go either way. Penn State averages 73.1 points per game, but they face a Rutgers defense that holds opponents to 73.7 PPG. The visitors' defensive prowess could limit the home team's scoring output. Meanwhile, Rutgers scores 73.5 PPG but faces a Penn State defense that limits opponents to 73.9 PPG. The home team's defensive effort could be the difference-maker. Home court advantage is worth approximately 3.5 points in NCAAB, and Penn State will look to leverage their home crowd. Our model projects Penn State to win by approximately 3.1 points. The 68% confidence interval ranges from Penn State winning by 16 to losing by 9. Our model aligns closely with the market on this one, suggesting the oddsmakers have priced this game efficiently. Look for small edges in the total and moneyline markets to capitalize on any remaining value.

Penn State has struggled this season at 11-16 (8-7). The wins have been hard to come by, and the team is looking for answers on both ends of the floor. Home court advantage will be critical for any chance at pulling off an upset. It's been a difficult season for Rutgers at 11-15 (9-6). Traveling to face Penn State presents a significant challenge, though every game is a chance to build for the future. When these teams meet, the home team typically has the edge given the crowd advantage and familiarity factor. The team that controls tempo and limits turnovers will likely dictate the outcome of this matchup.