Queens University Royals vs North Alabama Lions

This NCAAB matchup features Queens University Royals (16-12 (11-2)) traveling to take on North Alabama Lions (8-18 (4-8)) at Flowers Hall, Florence, AL. The Queens hold a clear statistical edge this season, outperforming the North Alabama by 9.2 points per game in scoring margin. That differential will be a key factor in this matchup. North Alabama averages 71.2 points per game, but they face a Queens defense that holds opponents to 71.4 PPG. The visitors' defensive prowess could limit the home team's scoring output. The Queens offense puts up 76.4 PPG and faces a North Alabama defense allowing 75.4 PPG. The visitors have the offensive firepower to stay in this one. Home court advantage is worth approximately 3.5 points in NCAAB, and North Alabama will look to leverage their home crowd. Our model sees this as essentially a coin-flip game, projecting just a 2.8-point margin. Expect a tight finish. The 68% confidence interval ranges from North Alabama winning by 10 to losing by 15. Our model aligns closely with the market on this one, suggesting the oddsmakers have priced this game efficiently. Look for small edges in the total and moneyline markets to capitalize on any remaining value.

North Alabama has struggled this season at 8-18 (4-8). The wins have been hard to come by, and the team is looking for answers on both ends of the floor. Home court advantage will be critical for any chance at pulling off an upset. Queens sits at 16-12 (11-2) on the season. They've been competitive in most outings but have had their share of inconsistent performances. On the road, they'll need to bring their best effort to come away with a win. When these teams meet, the home team typically has the edge given the crowd advantage and familiarity factor. The team that controls tempo and limits turnovers will likely dictate the outcome of this matchup.