North Dakota State Bison vs South Dakota State Jackrabbits

This NCAAB matchup features North Dakota State Bison (22-6 (11-1)) traveling to take on South Dakota State Jackrabbits (12-16 (8-4)) at First Bank & Trust Arena, Brookings, SD. The N Dakota St hold a clear statistical edge this season, outperforming the S Dakota St by 12.5 points per game in scoring margin. That differential will be a key factor in this matchup. On offense, S Dakota St averages 73.6 points per game, which exceeds what the N Dakota St defense typically allows (68.2 PPG). That mismatch could give the home side opportunities to exploit. The N Dakota St offense puts up 80.7 PPG and faces a S Dakota St defense allowing 73.6 PPG. The visitors have the offensive firepower to stay in this one. Home court advantage is worth approximately 3.5 points in NCAAB, and S Dakota St will look to leverage their home crowd. Our model projects N Dakota St to win by approximately 4.9 points. The 68% confidence interval ranges from S Dakota St winning by 8 to losing by 17. Our model aligns closely with the market on this one, suggesting the oddsmakers have priced this game efficiently. Look for small edges in the total and moneyline markets to capitalize on any remaining value.

S Dakota St has struggled this season at 12-16 (8-4). The wins have been hard to come by, and the team is looking for answers on both ends of the floor. Home court advantage will be critical for any chance at pulling off an upset. N Dakota St comes in with an impressive 22-6 (11-1) record. They've been among the best teams in their conference and are playing with the confidence of a squad that expects to win. Road games can be tricky, but this team has the poise to handle hostile environments. When these teams meet, the home team typically has the edge given the crowd advantage and familiarity factor. The team that controls tempo and limits turnovers will likely dictate the outcome of this matchup.