Lehigh Mountain Hawks vs Navy Midshipmen

This NCAAB matchup features Lehigh Mountain Hawks (12-16 (8-4)) traveling to take on Navy Midshipmen (22-6 (13-1)) at Alumni Hall (Navy), Annapolis, MD. The Navy hold a clear statistical edge this season, outperforming the Lehigh by 12.5 points per game in scoring margin. That differential will be a key factor in this matchup. On offense, Navy averages 80.7 points per game, which exceeds what the Lehigh defense typically allows (73.6 PPG). That mismatch could give the home side opportunities to exploit. The Lehigh offense puts up 73.6 PPG and faces a Navy defense allowing 68.2 PPG. The visitors have the offensive firepower to stay in this one. Home court advantage is worth approximately 3.5 points in NCAAB, and Navy will look to leverage their home crowd. The Navy are heavy favorites in this one, with our model projecting a 12.4-point advantage. The 68% confidence interval ranges from Navy winning by 25 to losing by 0. Our model aligns closely with the market on this one, suggesting the oddsmakers have priced this game efficiently. Look for small edges in the total and moneyline markets to capitalize on any remaining value.

Navy has been one of the more consistent teams this season with a 22-6 (13-1) record. Their 22-win campaign speaks to the quality of play they've maintained throughout the year. At home, the Navy have been particularly strong, using crowd energy and familiarity to their advantage. It's been a difficult season for Lehigh at 12-16 (8-4). Traveling to face Navy presents a significant challenge, though every game is a chance to build for the future. When these teams meet, the home team typically has the edge given the crowd advantage and familiarity factor. The team that controls tempo and limits turnovers will likely dictate the outcome of this matchup.