SharpBetz
NCAAB

Army Black Knights vs Loyola Maryland Greyhounds

Thursday, February 19, 2026

Final Score Army 87 - Loyola MD 77
Spread: L Total:

Matchup Analysis

This NCAAB matchup features Army Black Knights (11-17 (6-8)) traveling to take on Loyola Maryland Greyhounds (11-17 (8-5)) at Reitz Arena, Baltimore, MD. These two teams are closely matched, with both squads posting similar scoring differentials this season. This projects as a competitive contest that could go either way. Loyola MD averages 72.9 points per game, but they face a Army defense that holds opponents to 74.1 PPG. The visitors' defensive prowess could limit the home team's scoring output. Meanwhile, Army scores 72.9 PPG but faces a Loyola MD defense that limits opponents to 74.1 PPG. The home team's defensive effort could be the difference-maker. Home court advantage is worth approximately 3.5 points in NCAAB, and Loyola MD will look to leverage their home crowd. Our model projects Loyola MD to win by approximately 3.5 points. The 68% confidence interval ranges from Loyola MD winning by 16 to losing by 9. Our model aligns closely with the market on this one, suggesting the oddsmakers have priced this game efficiently. Look for small edges in the total and moneyline markets to capitalize on any remaining value.

Team Comparison

ARMY Army
Stat
L-MD Loyola MD
11-17 (6-8)
Record
11-17 (8-5)
Last 10
72.9
PPG
72.9
74.1
Opp PPG
74.1

Current Odds

Team Moneyline Spread Total
ARMY Army Black Knights
+180 +4.5 O 149.5
L-MD Loyola Maryland Greyhounds
-218 -4.5 U 149.5
Source: Draft Kings Updated: Feb 19, 7:37 PM
Opening line: -4.5 / O/U 146.5

Model Projection

Team Moneyline Spread Total
ARMY Army Black Knights
+157 +3.5 O 145.8
L-MD Loyola Maryland Greyhounds
-157 -3.5 U 145.8
Source: Model Updated: Feb 19, 6:55 PM

Our Picks

Spread L
Loyola MD (opened at -4.5)
55% Confidence
Total
Pass
Model: 145.8 | Edge below threshold

Recent Trends

Loyola MD has struggled this season at 11-17 (8-5). The wins have been hard to come by, and the team is looking for answers on both ends of the floor. Home court advantage will be critical for any chance at pulling off an upset. It's been a difficult season for Army at 11-17 (6-8). Traveling to face Loyola MD presents a significant challenge, though every game is a chance to build for the future. When these teams meet, the home team typically has the edge given the crowd advantage and familiarity factor. The team that controls tempo and limits turnovers will likely dictate the outcome of this matchup.

Matchup Edges

Loyola MD

Advantages

  • Home court advantage and crowd support
  • Familiarity with home venue and routines

Disadvantages

  • Sub-.500 record at 11-17 (8-5) raises concerns
  • Potential for inconsistency in key moments

Army

Advantages

  • Nothing to lose as the visiting team
  • Road underdog motivation — play with less pressure

Disadvantages

  • Playing on the road without home crowd support
  • Struggling with a 11-17 (6-8) record this season