LA Clippers vs Los Angeles Lakers
Saturday, February 21, 2026
Final Score Clippers 122 - Lakers 125
Spread: W
Total:
Matchup Analysis
This NBA matchup features LA Clippers (27-28 (14-11)) traveling to take on Los Angeles Lakers (33-21 (15-10)) at crypto.com Arena, Los Angeles, CA. These two teams are closely matched, with both squads posting similar scoring differentials this season. This projects as a competitive contest that could go either way.
On offense, Lakers averages 116.0 points per game, which exceeds what the Clippers defense typically allows (112.4 PPG). That mismatch could give the home side opportunities to exploit. Meanwhile, Clippers scores 112.0 PPG but faces a Lakers defense that limits opponents to 116.0 PPG. The home team's defensive effort could be the difference-maker.
Home court advantage is worth approximately 3.0 points in NBA, and Lakers will look to leverage their home crowd. Our model projects Lakers to win by approximately 4.3 points.
The market has this game at -6.5, but our model sees value on Clippers with a 2.2-point edge. Combined with the total projection of 228 versus the market line of 225.5, there are opportunities to find value on both sides of this matchup.
Team Comparison
LAC Clippers
Stat
LAL Lakers
27-28 (14-11)
Record
33-21 (15-10)
Last 10
112.0
PPG
116.0
112.4
Opp PPG
116.0
Current Odds
| Team | Moneyline | Spread | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| LAC LA Clippers | +210 ↓ | +7.5 ↓ | O 228.5 |
| LAL Los Angeles Lakers | -258 ↑ | -7.5 ↑ | U 228.5 |
Source: Draft Kings Updated: Feb 21, 10:43 PM
Opening line: -8.5 / O/U 226.5
Model Projection
| Team | Moneyline | Spread | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| LAC LA Clippers | +317 | +4.3 | O 228.2 |
| LAL Los Angeles Lakers | -317 | -4.3 | U 228.2 |
Source: Model Updated: Feb 20, 11:07 PM
Our Picks
Spread
W
Clippers (opened at -8.5)
60% Confidence
Total
Pass
Model: 228.2 | Edge below threshold
Recent Trends
Lakers enters at 33-21 (15-10), hovering around the .500 mark. They've shown flashes of strong play but haven't been able to sustain consistency. At home, they'll look to put together a complete performance and build momentum.
It's been a difficult season for Clippers at 27-28 (14-11). Traveling to face Lakers presents a significant challenge, though every game is a chance to build for the future.
When these teams meet, the home team typically has the edge given the crowd advantage and familiarity factor. The team that controls tempo and limits turnovers will likely dictate the outcome of this matchup.
Matchup Edges
Lakers
Advantages
- Strong 33-21 (15-10) overall record this season
- Home court advantage and crowd support
- Strong offense averaging 116.0 PPG
Disadvantages
- Defense allows 116.0 PPG — a vulnerability
- Turnover-prone at 14.5 per game
Clippers
Advantages
- Potent offense averaging 112.0 PPG
- Nothing to lose as the visiting team
- Road underdog motivation — play with less pressure
Disadvantages
- Playing on the road without home crowd support
- Struggling with a 27-28 (14-11) record this season