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NBA

Utah Jazz vs Memphis Grizzlies

Saturday, February 21, 2026

Final Score Jazz 114 - Grizzlies 123
Spread: W Total:

Matchup Analysis

This NBA matchup features Utah Jazz (18-38 (11-18)) traveling to take on Memphis Grizzlies (20-33 (10-15)) at FedExForum, Memphis, TN. The Grizzlies hold a clear statistical edge this season, outperforming the Jazz by 5.5 points per game in scoring margin. That differential will be a key factor in this matchup. Grizzlies averages 115.3 points per game, but they face a Jazz defense that holds opponents to 125.9 PPG. The visitors' defensive prowess could limit the home team's scoring output. The Jazz offense puts up 118.3 PPG and faces a Grizzlies defense allowing 117.5 PPG. The visitors have the offensive firepower to stay in this one. Home court advantage is worth approximately 3.0 points in NBA, and Grizzlies will look to leverage their home crowd. Our model projects Grizzlies to win by approximately 9.1 points. The market has this game at -2.5, but our model sees value on Grizzlies with a 6.6-point edge. Combined with the total projection of 238 versus the market line of 237.5, there are opportunities to find value on both sides of this matchup.

Team Comparison

UTAH Jazz
Stat
MEM Grizzlies
18-38 (11-18)
Record
20-33 (10-15)
Last 10
118.3
PPG
115.3
125.9
Opp PPG
117.5

Current Odds

Team Moneyline Spread Total
UTAH Utah Jazz
+114 +2.5 O 237.5
MEM Memphis Grizzlies
-135 -2.5 U 237.5
Source: Draft Kings Updated: Feb 21, 4:11 AM
Opening line: -1.5 / O/U 237.5

Model Projection

Team Moneyline Spread Total
UTAH Utah Jazz
+1183 +9.1 O 238.5
MEM Memphis Grizzlies
-1183 -9.1 U 238.5
Source: Model Updated: Feb 20, 11:07 PM

Our Picks

Spread W
Grizzlies (opened at -1.5)
79% Confidence
Total
Pass
Model: 238.5 | Edge below threshold

Recent Trends

Grizzlies has struggled this season at 20-33 (10-15). The wins have been hard to come by, and the team is looking for answers on both ends of the floor. Home court advantage will be critical for any chance at pulling off an upset. It's been a difficult season for Jazz at 18-38 (11-18). Traveling to face Grizzlies presents a significant challenge, though every game is a chance to build for the future. When these teams meet, the home team typically has the edge given the crowd advantage and familiarity factor. The team that controls tempo and limits turnovers will likely dictate the outcome of this matchup.

Matchup Edges

Grizzlies

Advantages

  • Home court advantage and crowd support
  • Strong offense averaging 115.3 PPG
  • Familiarity with home venue and routines

Disadvantages

  • Sub-.500 record at 20-33 (10-15) raises concerns
  • Defense allows 117.5 PPG — a vulnerability

Jazz

Advantages

  • Potent offense averaging 118.3 PPG
  • Nothing to lose as the visiting team
  • Road underdog motivation — play with less pressure

Disadvantages

  • Playing on the road without home crowd support
  • Struggling with a 18-38 (11-18) record this season

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