SUNY Old Westbury Panthers vs Columbia Lions
Friday, November 6, 2026
Matchup Analysis
Columbia’s shooting profile, especially its three‑point and overall field‑goal percentages, dominates this clash. The Lions are hitting just 22.222 % from beyond the arc while Old Westbury sits at a healthier 32.0 %, and Columbia’s 47.368 % field‑goal conversion eclipses the Warriors’ 31.481 % mark, indicating a clear efficiency gap that could translate into points early.
The ATS trend further damns any optimism for the home side. Columbia Lions are 7‑28 straight up in conference games, a win‑pct of 0.2 over a sample size of 35, underscoring a chronic struggle to cover spreads against familiar foes.
Turnover differentials add another layer of disadvantage for the Lions. Columbia is handing the ball away at a rate of 13.0 turnovers per game, whereas Old Westbury is conceding 16.0 per game, a –3.0 differential that favors the visitor and hints at additional scoring opportunities for the away squad.
There is no line and no side to pick in this contest; the recommendation is pass.
Team Comparison
Current Odds
Market odds not available from ESPN for this game.
Model Projection
| Team | Moneyline | Spread | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| OLDW SUNY Old Westbury Panthers | -439 | -12.9 | O 118 |
| COLU Columbia Lions | +439 | +12.9 | U 118 |
Our Picks
Key Matchup Factors
Key Matchup Factors:
- Market Total Signal (+118.00): This factor contributes +118.00 to the projection, favoring Columbia.
- Pace Mismatch (+108.00): A 108.00-point pace mismatch could shape the game's flow, with Columbia's preferred tempo likely to dominate.
- Points Allowed Differential (+84.00): The defensive scoring differential (84.00 PPG) favors Columbia, who allows fewer points per game.
- SOS-Adjusted Margin (-63.17): This factor contributes -63.17 to the projection, favoring Old Westbury.
Recent Trends
Columbia Trends:
- Columbia Lions is 2-11 straight up after a loss vs a winning team
- Columbia Lions is 7-28 straight up in conference games
- Columbia Lions is 11-2 straight up on a 3+ game win streak
- Columbia Lions is 29-9 straight up in non-conference games
- The over is 4-1 in Columbia Lions's games at home after a loss
Matchup Edges
Columbia
Advantages
- Home court advantage worth 3.5 points in our model
- Market Total Signal contributes +118.00 points to home projection
- Net scoring margin of -13.0 PPG per game
Disadvantages
- Sub-.500 record at 0-1 (0-1) (0% win rate)
- Defense allows 84.0 PPG -- a vulnerability opponents exploit
- On a 3-game losing streak -- confidence is fragile
- Poor home record at just 29% win rate at this venue
Old Westbury
Advantages
- SOS-Adjusted Margin contributes -63.17 points favoring away
- Net scoring margin of +47.0 PPG per game
- Model-projected win probability of 81%
Disadvantages
- Playing on the road, sacrificing 3.5 point of home court advantage
- Anemic offense at just 47.0 PPG limits scoring ceiling
- Turnover issues at 16.0 per game, amplified in road environments
- 3-game losing streak compounds road challenges