Loyola Maryland Greyhounds vs Georgetown Hoyas
Monday, November 2, 2026
Matchup Analysis
The market spread of 23.5 versus the model line of 12.0 creates an 11.52 edge, making the away side an obvious play. The market‑vs‑model signal shows Georgetown listed as the home team and Loyola MD as the away team, with the spread set at 23.5 and the model projecting a 12.0 line, delivering a clear advantage for the underdog.
Both programs enter the contest with ample rest, Georgetown having 234 days and Loyola MD 242 days without back‑to‑back games, and neither team is in a back‑to‑back (b2b) situation. The rest differential offers no apparent fatigue factor for either side.
Loyola Maryland Greyhounds have struggled against quality opposition, posting a 3‑27 straight‑up record versus teams above .500, a win percentage of 0.1 across a sample of 30 games. That trend underscores the difficulty the Greyhounds face when facing stronger opponents, but it does not offset the sizable spread disparity.
Pick Loyola MD +23.5, play.
Team Comparison
Current Odds
| Team | Moneyline | Spread | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| L-MD Loyola Maryland Greyhounds | +2500 | +23.5 | O 150.5 |
| GTWN Georgetown Hoyas | -9000 | -23.5 | U 150.5 |
Model Projection
| Team | Moneyline | Spread | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| L-MD Loyola Maryland Greyhounds | +338 | +12 | O 148.8 |
| GTWN Georgetown Hoyas | -338 | -12 | U 148.8 |
Our Picks
Play to +12.7
Key Matchup Factors
Key Matchup Factors:
- Market Total Signal (+150.50): This factor contributes +150.50 to the projection, favoring Georgetown.
- Combined Tempo (+37.21): This factor contributes +37.21 to the projection, favoring Georgetown.
- Rest Advantage (-8.00): The rest differential (8.00) gives Loyola MD fresher legs, which typically matters most in second-half execution.
- SOS-Adjusted Margin (+6.28): This factor contributes +6.28 to the projection, favoring Georgetown.
Recent Trends
Georgetown Trends:
- Georgetown Hoyas is 0-12 straight up at home vs a ranked opponent
- Georgetown Hoyas is 0-12 straight up vs ranked opponents
- Georgetown Hoyas is 10-31 straight up after a loss vs a winning team
- Georgetown Hoyas is 10-39 straight up in conference games
- Georgetown Hoyas is 2-7 ATS at home after a loss
Loyola MD Trends:
- Loyola Maryland Greyhounds is 1-15 straight up after a loss vs a winning team
- Loyola Maryland Greyhounds is 3-27 straight up vs teams above .500
- Loyola Maryland Greyhounds is 7-25 straight up on the road after a win
- Loyola Maryland Greyhounds is 21-65 straight up away
- Loyola Maryland Greyhounds is 20-60 straight up with 2+ days rest
Matchup Edges
Georgetown
Advantages
- Home court advantage worth 3.5 points in our model
- Market Total Signal contributes +150.50 points to home projection
- Net scoring margin of +73.6 PPG per game
Disadvantages
- Poor home record at just 33% win rate at this venue
- Model sees 11.5-point edge favoring the away side
- Opponent still holds a 23% model win probability
Loyola MD
Advantages
- Potent offense averaging 75.2 PPG
- 242-day rest advantage over opponent's 234 days
- Rest Advantage contributes -8.00 points favoring away
Disadvantages
- Playing on the road, sacrificing 3.5 point of home court advantage
- Road win rate of only 33% away from home
- Model win probability of just 23% on the road