SharpBetz
NCAAB

Winthrop Eagles vs Queens University Royals

Monday, November 2, 2026

Matchup Analysis

The most compelling angle in this matchup is the rest edge, with Queens entering the game after 227 days while Winthrop has enjoyed 239 days of rest and neither team is facing a back‑to‑back schedule.

Queens arrives with 227 days since its last contest, a modest gap that contrasts with Winthrop’s 239 days of idle time; both squads avoid a back‑to‑back situation, eliminating any fatigue factor that could influence early‑season play.

Offensively, the Royals hold a 35.967 % three‑point conversion rate and a 48.24 % field‑goal percentage, edging out Winthrop’s 33.898 % from deep and 43.624 % overall shooting. The disparity in efficiency suggests Queens can generate higher-quality looks from both the perimeter and inside the arc.

Beyond the numbers, Queens University Royals have compiled a 19‑4 straight‑up record in non‑conference games, translating to an 0.826 win percentage across a sample of 23 contests. Such a strong performance record underscores the team’s ability to dominate opponents outside its regular slate.

Given the pass designation, there is no line and no side to recommend for this contest; the edge is a pass.

Team Comparison

WIN Winthrop
Stat
QUC Queens
0-0 (0-0)
Record
0-0 (0-0)
83.6
PPG
84.9
0.0
Opp PPG
0.0

Current Odds

Team Moneyline Spread Total
WIN Winthrop Eagles
+120 +2.5 O 168.5
QUC Queens University Royals
-142 -2.5 U 168.5
Source: DraftKings Updated: Nov 2, 1:40 PM
Opening line: -2.5 / O/U 168.5

Model Projection

Team Moneyline Spread Total
WIN Winthrop Eagles
+137 +3.3 O 168.5
QUC Queens University Royals
-137 -3.3 U 168.5
Source: Model Updated: Nov 2, 1:40 PM

Our Picks

Spread
Pass
Model: -3.3 | Edge below threshold
Total
Pass
Model: 168.5 | Edge below threshold

Key Matchup Factors

Key Matchup Factors:

  • Market Total Signal (+168.50): This factor contributes +168.50 to the projection, favoring Queens.
  • Combined Tempo (+42.13): This factor contributes +42.13 to the projection, favoring Queens.
  • Rest Advantage (-12.00): The rest differential (12.00) gives Winthrop fresher legs, which typically matters most in second-half execution.
  • SOS-Adjusted Margin (-2.09): This factor contributes -2.09 to the projection, favoring Winthrop.

Recent Trends

Queens Trends:

  • Queens University Royals is 10-2 straight up at home as a favorite
  • Queens University Royals is 8-0 straight up on a 3+ game losing streak
  • Queens University Royals is 19-4 straight up in non-conference games
  • Queens University Royals is 10-2 straight up favorite
  • Queens University Royals is 24-7 straight up at home after a loss

Winthrop Trends:

  • Winthrop Eagles is 2-11 straight up after a loss vs a winning team
  • Winthrop Eagles is 8-32 straight up vs teams above .500
  • Winthrop Eagles is 2-10 ATS with 3+ days rest
  • Winthrop Eagles is 0-5 ATS in non-conference games
  • Winthrop Eagles is 1-7 ATS vs teams above .500

Head-to-Head:

  • Queens University Royals is 0-3 straight up vs Winthrop Eagles

Matchup Edges

Queens

Advantages

  • Home court advantage worth 3.5 points in our model
  • Strong offense averaging 84.9 PPG
  • Home record of 75% win rate at this venue
  • Market Total Signal contributes +168.50 points to home projection

Disadvantages

  • Opponent still holds a 42% model win probability
  • Combined opponent scoring of 41.8 PPG creates variance risk

Winthrop

Advantages

  • Potent offense averaging 83.6 PPG
  • 239-day rest advantage over opponent's 227 days
  • Rest Advantage contributes -12.00 points favoring away

Disadvantages

  • Playing on the road, sacrificing 3.5 point of home court advantage
  • Model win probability of just 42% on the road
  • Averaging 0.0 PPG allowed on defense

More NCAAB Picks for Monday, November 2, 2026

Model projection by SharpBetz; write-up generated from the numbers above and checked against them. Updated Nov 2, 2026, 1:40 PM UTC View Our Track Record