Curry Colonels vs Stonehill Skyhawks
Tuesday, November 3, 2026
Matchup Analysis
Rest differentials dominate the conversation, with Stonehill coming off 241 days of rest while Curry has logged 362 days between games.
Stonehill enters the contest without back‑to‑back scheduling, flagged as false for a b2b situation, and Curry shares the same status, also false. The disparity in layoff length gives the home side a clear advantage in preparation and recovery.
On the offensive end, Stonehill shoots 32.208 % from three‑point range and posts a 41.456 % field‑goal percentage, starkly outpacing Curry’s 12.5 % from beyond the arc and 17.188 % overall. The contrast in shooting efficiency points to a likely scoring gap that could widen quickly once the game gets underway.
Ball security further tilts the field, as Stonehill averages 13.03 turnovers per game compared with Curry’s 21.0, a differential of -7.97. The lower turnover rate should allow Stonehill to sustain more possessions and limit Curry’s already limited scoring opportunities.
The model passes on this game; there is no line and no side to take. The strength designation is pass.
Team Comparison
Current Odds
Market odds not available from ESPN for this game.
Model Projection
| Team | Moneyline | Spread | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| CC Curry Colonels | +340 | +21.8 | O 97.4 |
| STO Stonehill Skyhawks | -340 | -21.8 | U 97.4 |
Our Picks
Key Matchup Factors
Key Matchup Factors:
- Rest Advantage (-121.00): The rest differential (121.00) gives Curry fresher legs, which typically matters most in second-half execution.
- Market Total Signal (+97.39): This factor contributes +97.39 to the projection, favoring Stonehill.
- Points Per Game Differential (+35.39): Stonehill's per-game scoring advantage (35.39 PPG) indicates a more productive offense.
- Scoring Margin Differential (+35.39): Stonehill's scoring margin advantage of 35.39 points per game is one of the strongest statistical signals in this matchup.
Recent Trends
Stonehill Trends:
- Stonehill Skyhawks is 1-4 ATS at home as a favorite
- Stonehill Skyhawks is 1-4 ATS favorite
- Stonehill Skyhawks is 23-12 straight up at home after a loss
- The over is 1-4 in Stonehill Skyhawks's games with 3+ days rest
- Stonehill Skyhawks is 23-12 straight up after a loss
Matchup Edges
Stonehill
Advantages
- Home court advantage worth 3.5 points in our model
- Market Total Signal contributes +97.39 points to home projection
- Net scoring margin of +66.4 PPG per game
Disadvantages
- Opponent still holds a 23% model win probability
- Combined opponent scoring of 15.5 PPG creates variance risk
Curry
Advantages
- 362-day rest advantage over opponent's 241 days
- Rest Advantage contributes -121.00 points favoring away
- Net scoring margin of +31.0 PPG per game
Disadvantages
- Playing on the road, sacrificing 3.5 point of home court advantage
- Anemic offense at just 31.0 PPG limits scoring ceiling
- Turnover issues at 21.0 per game, amplified in road environments