SharpBetz
NCAAB

Bryant Bulldogs vs Vermont Catamounts

Saturday, March 7, 2026

Matchup Analysis

This NCAAB matchup features Bryant Bulldogs (9-21 (8-5)) traveling to take on Vermont Catamounts (20-11 (11-3)) at Patrick Gymnasium, Burlington, VT. The Vermont hold a clear statistical edge this season, outperforming the Bryant by 12.1 points per game in scoring margin. That differential will be a key factor in this matchup. On offense, Vermont averages 74.1 points per game, which exceeds what the Bryant defense typically allows (72.3 PPG). That mismatch could give the home side opportunities to exploit. Meanwhile, Bryant scores 65.1 PPG but faces a Vermont defense that limits opponents to 69.2 PPG. The home team's defensive effort could be the difference-maker. Home court advantage is worth approximately 3.5 points in NCAAB, and Vermont will look to leverage their home crowd. Our model projects Vermont to win by approximately 7.3 points. The 68% confidence interval ranges from Vermont winning by 20 to losing by 5. The market has this game at -13.5, but our model sees value on Bryant with a 6.2-point edge. Our line: Vermont -7.3. Combined with the total projection of 139 versus the market line of 133.5, there are opportunities to find value on both sides of this matchup.

Team Comparison

BRY Bryant
Stat
UVM Vermont
9-21 (8-5)
Record
20-11 (11-3)
Last 10
65.1
PPG
74.1
72.3
Opp PPG
69.2

Current Odds

Team Moneyline Spread Total
BRY Bryant Bulldogs
+600 +13.5 O 133.5
UVM Vermont Catamounts
-900 -13.5 U 133.5
Source: Draft Kings Updated: Mar 7, 5:40 AM
Opening line: -13.5 / O/U 133.5

Model Projection

Team Moneyline Spread Total
BRY Bryant Bulldogs
+294 +7.3 O 139.2
UVM Vermont Catamounts
-294 -7.3 U 139.2
Source: Model Updated: Mar 7, 5:40 AM

Our Picks

Spread
Bryant (opened at -13.5)
57% Confidence

Play to -8

Total
Over (opened at 133.5)
61% Confidence

Play to 138.4

Recent Trends

Vermont enters at 20-11 (11-3), hovering around the .500 mark. They've shown flashes of strong play but haven't been able to sustain consistency. At home, they'll look to put together a complete performance and build momentum. It's been a difficult season for Bryant at 9-21 (8-5). Traveling to face Vermont presents a significant challenge, though every game is a chance to build for the future. When these teams meet, the home team typically has the edge given the crowd advantage and familiarity factor. The team that controls tempo and limits turnovers will likely dictate the outcome of this matchup.

Matchup Edges

Vermont

Advantages

  • Strong 20-11 (11-3) overall record this season
  • Home court advantage and crowd support
  • Familiarity with home venue and routines

Disadvantages

  • Potential for inconsistency in key moments

Bryant

Advantages

  • Nothing to lose as the visiting team
  • Road underdog motivation — play with less pressure

Disadvantages

  • Playing on the road without home crowd support
  • Struggling with a 9-21 (8-5) record this season