Campbell Fighting Camels vs Stony Brook Seawolves
Saturday, March 7, 2026
Matchup Analysis
This NCAAB matchup features Campbell Fighting Camels (14-17 (10-4)) traveling to take on Stony Brook Seawolves (17-14 (12-4)) at CareFirst Arena, Washington, DC. These two teams are closely matched, with both squads posting similar scoring differentials this season. This projects as a competitive contest that could go either way.
Stony Brook averages 71.2 points per game, but they face a Campbell defense that holds opponents to 77.6 PPG. The visitors' defensive prowess could limit the home team's scoring output. The Campbell offense puts up 78.9 PPG and faces a Stony Brook defense allowing 70.4 PPG. The visitors have the offensive firepower to stay in this one.
Home court advantage is worth approximately 3.5 points in NCAAB, and Stony Brook will look to leverage their home crowd. Our model projects Stony Brook to win by approximately 4.4 points. The 68% confidence interval ranges from Stony Brook winning by 17 to losing by 8.
The market has this game at +2.5, but our model sees value on Stony Brook with a 6.9-point edge. Our line: Stony Brook -4.4. Combined with the total projection of 150 versus the market line of 146.5, there are opportunities to find value on both sides of this matchup.
Team Comparison
CAM Campbell
Stat
STBK Stony Brook
14-17 (10-4)
Record
17-14 (12-4)
Last 10
78.9
PPG
71.2
77.6
Opp PPG
70.4
Current Odds
| Team | Moneyline | Spread | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| CAM Campbell Fighting Camels | -148 | -2.5 | O 146.5 |
| STBK Stony Brook Seawolves | +124 | +2.5 | U 146.5 |
Source: Draft Kings Updated: Mar 7, 5:40 AM
Opening line: +2.5 / O/U 146.5
Model Projection
| Team | Moneyline | Spread | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| CAM Campbell Fighting Camels | +150 | +4.4 | O 150.1 |
| STBK Stony Brook Seawolves | -150 | -4.4 | U 150.1 |
Source: Model Updated: Mar 7, 5:40 AM
Our Picks
Spread
Stony Brook (opened at +2.5)
58% Confidence
Play to -5.1
Total
Pass
Model: 150.1 | Edge below threshold
Recent Trends
Stony Brook enters at 17-14 (12-4), hovering around the .500 mark. They've shown flashes of strong play but haven't been able to sustain consistency. At home, they'll look to put together a complete performance and build momentum.
It's been a difficult season for Campbell at 14-17 (10-4). Traveling to face Stony Brook presents a significant challenge, though every game is a chance to build for the future.
When these teams meet, the home team typically has the edge given the crowd advantage and familiarity factor. The team that controls tempo and limits turnovers will likely dictate the outcome of this matchup.
Matchup Edges
Stony Brook
Advantages
- Home court advantage and crowd support
- Familiarity with home venue and routines
Disadvantages
- Potential for inconsistency in key moments
Campbell
Advantages
- Potent offense averaging 78.9 PPG
- Nothing to lose as the visiting team
- Road underdog motivation — play with less pressure
Disadvantages
- Playing on the road without home crowd support
- Struggling with a 14-17 (10-4) record this season