Winthrop Eagles vs Charleston Southern Buccaneers

This NCAAB matchup features Winthrop Eagles (20-10 (12-1)) traveling to take on Charleston Southern Buccaneers (14-16 (10-4)) at Buccaneer Fieldhouse, Charleston, SC. The Winthrop hold a clear statistical edge this season, outperforming the Charleston So by 6.3 points per game in scoring margin. That differential will be a key factor in this matchup. On offense, Charleston So averages 83.1 points per game, which exceeds what the Winthrop defense typically allows (75.1 PPG). That mismatch could give the home side opportunities to exploit. The Winthrop offense puts up 84.5 PPG and faces a Charleston So defense allowing 80.1 PPG. The visitors have the offensive firepower to stay in this one. Home court advantage is worth approximately 3.5 points in NCAAB, and Charleston So will look to leverage their home crowd. Our model projects Winthrop to win by approximately 3.8 points. The 68% confidence interval ranges from Charleston So winning by 9 to losing by 16. The market has this game at +6.5, but our model sees value on Charleston So with a 2.7-point edge. Our line: Charleston So +3.8. Combined with the total projection of 168 versus the market line of 162.5, there are opportunities to find value on both sides of this matchup.

Charleston So has struggled this season at 14-16 (10-4). The wins have been hard to come by, and the team is looking for answers on both ends of the floor. Home court advantage will be critical for any chance at pulling off an upset. Winthrop sits at 20-10 (12-1) on the season. They've been competitive in most outings but have had their share of inconsistent performances. On the road, they'll need to bring their best effort to come away with a win. When these teams meet, the home team typically has the edge given the crowd advantage and familiarity factor. The team that controls tempo and limits turnovers will likely dictate the outcome of this matchup.