SharpBetz
NCAAB

Bethune-Cookman Wildcats vs Grambling Tigers

Thursday, February 26, 2026

Matchup Analysis

This NCAAB matchup features Bethune-Cookman Wildcats (15-13 (10-1)) traveling to take on Grambling Tigers (12-15 (7-3)) at Fredrick C. Hobdy Assembly Center, Grambling, LA. These two teams are closely matched, with both squads posting similar scoring differentials this season. This projects as a competitive contest that could go either way. Grambling averages 71.1 points per game, but they face a Bethune defense that holds opponents to 77.1 PPG. The visitors' defensive prowess could limit the home team's scoring output. The Bethune offense puts up 75.4 PPG and faces a Grambling defense allowing 70.8 PPG. The visitors have the offensive firepower to stay in this one. Home court advantage is worth approximately 3.5 points in NCAAB, and Grambling will look to leverage their home crowd. Our model sees this as essentially a coin-flip game, projecting just a 2.9-point margin. Expect a tight finish. The 68% confidence interval ranges from Grambling winning by 16 to losing by 10. Our model aligns closely with the market on this one, suggesting the oddsmakers have priced this game efficiently. Look for small edges in the total and moneyline markets to capitalize on any remaining value.

Team Comparison

BCU Bethune
Stat
GRAM Grambling
15-13 (10-1)
Record
12-15 (7-3)
Last 10
75.4
PPG
71.1
77.1
Opp PPG
70.8

Current Odds

Team Moneyline Spread Total
BCU Bethune-Cookman Wildcats
-122 -1.5 O 142.5
GRAM Grambling Tigers
+102 +1.5 U 142.5
Source: Draft Kings Updated: Feb 27, 4:47 AM
Opening line: +1.5 / O/U 141.5

Model Projection

Team Moneyline Spread Total
BCU Bethune-Cookman Wildcats
+159 +2.9 O 146.5
GRAM Grambling Tigers
-159 -2.9 U 146.5
Source: Model Updated: Feb 26, 10:36 PM

Our Picks

Spread
Pass
Model: -2.9 | Edge below threshold
Total
Pass
Model: 146.5 | Edge below threshold

Recent Trends

Grambling has struggled this season at 12-15 (7-3). The wins have been hard to come by, and the team is looking for answers on both ends of the floor. Home court advantage will be critical for any chance at pulling off an upset. Bethune sits at 15-13 (10-1) on the season. They've been competitive in most outings but have had their share of inconsistent performances. On the road, they'll need to bring their best effort to come away with a win. When these teams meet, the home team typically has the edge given the crowd advantage and familiarity factor. The team that controls tempo and limits turnovers will likely dictate the outcome of this matchup.

Matchup Edges

Grambling

Advantages

  • Home court advantage and crowd support
  • Familiarity with home venue and routines

Disadvantages

  • Sub-.500 record at 12-15 (7-3) raises concerns
  • Turnover-prone at 14.9 per game

Bethune

Advantages

  • Potent offense averaging 75.4 PPG
  • Nothing to lose as the visiting team
  • Road underdog motivation — play with less pressure

Disadvantages

  • Playing on the road without home crowd support
  • Defense allows 77.1 PPG — exploitable