UNC Asheville Bulldogs vs Gardner-Webb Runnin' Bulldogs

This NCAAB matchup features UNC Asheville Bulldogs (14-15 (8-6)) traveling to take on Gardner-Webb Runnin' Bulldogs (3-27 (3-10)) at Paul Porter Arena, Boiling Springs, NC. The UNC Asheville hold a clear statistical edge this season, outperforming the Gardner-Webb by 19.1 points per game in scoring margin. That differential will be a key factor in this matchup. Gardner-Webb averages 68.7 points per game, but they face a UNC Asheville defense that holds opponents to 71.9 PPG. The visitors' defensive prowess could limit the home team's scoring output. Meanwhile, UNC Asheville scores 72.9 PPG but faces a Gardner-Webb defense that limits opponents to 86.8 PPG. The home team's defensive effort could be the difference-maker. Home court advantage is worth approximately 3.5 points in NCAAB, and Gardner-Webb will look to leverage their home crowd. Our model projects UNC Asheville to win by approximately 7.5 points. The 68% confidence interval ranges from Gardner-Webb winning by 5 to losing by 20. The market has this game at +12.5, but our model sees value on Gardner-Webb with a 5.0-point edge. Our line: Gardner-Webb +7.5. Combined with the total projection of 142 versus the market line of 146.5, there are opportunities to find value on both sides of this matchup.

Gardner-Webb has struggled this season at 3-27 (3-10). The wins have been hard to come by, and the team is looking for answers on both ends of the floor. Home court advantage will be critical for any chance at pulling off an upset. It's been a difficult season for UNC Asheville at 14-15 (8-6). Traveling to face Gardner-Webb presents a significant challenge, though every game is a chance to build for the future. When these teams meet, the home team typically has the edge given the crowd advantage and familiarity factor. The team that controls tempo and limits turnovers will likely dictate the outcome of this matchup.