Tennessee State Tigers vs Southeast Missouri State Redhawks

This NCAAB matchup features Tennessee State Tigers (19-9 (10-2)) traveling to take on Southeast Missouri State Redhawks (18-11 (9-4)) at Show Me Center, Cape Girardeau, MO. These two teams are closely matched, with both squads posting similar scoring differentials this season. This projects as a competitive contest that could go either way. SE Missouri averages 74.9 points per game, but they face a Tennessee St defense that holds opponents to 75.4 PPG. The visitors' defensive prowess could limit the home team's scoring output. The Tennessee St offense puts up 81.1 PPG and faces a SE Missouri defense allowing 70.6 PPG. The visitors have the offensive firepower to stay in this one. Home court advantage is worth approximately 3.5 points in NCAAB, and SE Missouri will look to leverage their home crowd. Our model sees this as essentially a coin-flip game, projecting just a 1.4-point margin. Expect a tight finish. The 68% confidence interval ranges from SE Missouri winning by 14 to losing by 11. The market has this game at -3.5, but our model sees value on Tennessee St with a 2.1-point edge. Our line: SE Missouri -1.4. Combined with the total projection of 156 versus the market line of 153.5, there are opportunities to find value on both sides of this matchup.

SE Missouri enters at 18-11 (9-4), hovering around the .500 mark. They've shown flashes of strong play but haven't been able to sustain consistency. At home, they'll look to put together a complete performance and build momentum. Tennessee St sits at 19-9 (10-2) on the season. They've been competitive in most outings but have had their share of inconsistent performances. On the road, they'll need to bring their best effort to come away with a win. When these teams meet, the home team typically has the edge given the crowd advantage and familiarity factor. The team that controls tempo and limits turnovers will likely dictate the outcome of this matchup.