Temple Owls vs Florida Atlantic Owls
Friday, February 27, 2026
Matchup Analysis
This NCAAB matchup features Temple Owls (15-12 (9-5)) traveling to take on Florida Atlantic Owls (15-13 (9-4)) at Eleanor R. Baldwin Arena, Boca Raton, FL. These two teams are closely matched, with both squads posting similar scoring differentials this season. This projects as a competitive contest that could go either way.
On offense, FAU averages 80.0 points per game, which exceeds what the Temple defense typically allows (70.6 PPG). That mismatch could give the home side opportunities to exploit. Meanwhile, Temple scores 73.9 PPG but faces a FAU defense that limits opponents to 74.4 PPG. The home team's defensive effort could be the difference-maker.
Home court advantage is worth approximately 3.5 points in NCAAB, and FAU will look to leverage their home crowd. Our model projects FAU to win by approximately 3.1 points. The 68% confidence interval ranges from FAU winning by 16 to losing by 10.
Our model aligns closely with the market on this one, suggesting the oddsmakers have priced this game efficiently. Look for small edges in the total and moneyline markets to capitalize on any remaining value.
Team Comparison
TEM Temple
Stat
FAU FAU
15-12 (9-5)
Record
15-13 (9-4)
Last 10
73.9
PPG
80.0
70.6
Opp PPG
74.4
Current Odds
| Team | Moneyline | Spread | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| TEM Temple Owls | +164 ↓ | +5.5 ↑ | O 145.5 |
| FAU Florida Atlantic Owls | -198 ↑ | -5.5 ↓ | U 145.5 |
Source: Draft Kings Updated: Feb 27, 4:47 AM
Opening line: -4.5 / O/U 145.5
Model Projection
| Team | Moneyline | Spread | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| TEM Temple Owls | +162 | +3.1 | O 153.9 |
| FAU Florida Atlantic Owls | -162 | -3.1 | U 153.9 |
Source: Model Updated: Feb 26, 5:59 AM
Our Picks
Spread
Pass
Model: -3.1 | Edge below threshold
Total
Over (opened at 145.5)
66% Confidence
Play to 153.1
Recent Trends
FAU enters at 15-13 (9-4), hovering around the .500 mark. They've shown flashes of strong play but haven't been able to sustain consistency. At home, they'll look to put together a complete performance and build momentum.
Temple sits at 15-12 (9-5) on the season. They've been competitive in most outings but have had their share of inconsistent performances. On the road, they'll need to bring their best effort to come away with a win.
When these teams meet, the home team typically has the edge given the crowd advantage and familiarity factor. The team that controls tempo and limits turnovers will likely dictate the outcome of this matchup.
Matchup Edges
FAU
Advantages
- Home court advantage and crowd support
- Strong offense averaging 80.0 PPG
- Familiarity with home venue and routines
Disadvantages
- Potential for inconsistency in key moments
Temple
Advantages
- Nothing to lose as the visiting team
- Road underdog motivation — play with less pressure
Disadvantages
- Playing on the road without home crowd support
- Road fatigue and travel can impact energy levels