SharpBetz
NCAAB

South Carolina Upstate Spartans vs Radford Highlanders

Friday, February 27, 2026

Matchup Analysis

This NCAAB matchup features South Carolina Upstate Spartans (12-18 (9-5)) traveling to take on Radford Highlanders (16-14 (12-5)) at The Dedmon Center, Radford, VA. These two teams are closely matched, with both squads posting similar scoring differentials this season. This projects as a competitive contest that could go either way. On offense, Radford averages 81.9 points per game, which exceeds what the SC Upstate defense typically allows (74.4 PPG). That mismatch could give the home side opportunities to exploit. Meanwhile, SC Upstate scores 75.2 PPG but faces a Radford defense that limits opponents to 78.1 PPG. The home team's defensive effort could be the difference-maker. Home court advantage is worth approximately 3.5 points in NCAAB, and Radford will look to leverage their home crowd. Our model projects Radford to win by approximately 3.3 points. The 68% confidence interval ranges from Radford winning by 16 to losing by 9. The market has this game at -6.5, but our model sees value on SC Upstate with a 3.2-point edge. Our line: Radford -3.3. Combined with the total projection of 157 versus the market line of 154.5, there are opportunities to find value on both sides of this matchup.

Team Comparison

UPST SC Upstate
Stat
RAD Radford
12-18 (9-5)
Record
16-14 (12-5)
Last 10
75.2
PPG
81.9
74.4
Opp PPG
78.1

Current Odds

Team Moneyline Spread Total
UPST South Carolina Upstate Spartans
+215 +6.5 O 154.5
RAD Radford Highlanders
-265 -6.5 U 154.5
Source: Draft Kings Updated: Feb 26, 5:59 AM
Opening line: -6.5 / O/U 154.5

Model Projection

Team Moneyline Spread Total
UPST South Carolina Upstate Spartans
+177 +3.3 O 157.1
RAD Radford Highlanders
-177 -3.3 U 157.1
Source: Model Updated: Feb 27, 4:47 AM

Our Picks

Spread
SC Upstate (opened at -6.5)
53% Confidence

Play to -4.1

Total
Pass
Model: 157.1 | Edge below threshold

Recent Trends

Radford enters at 16-14 (12-5), hovering around the .500 mark. They've shown flashes of strong play but haven't been able to sustain consistency. At home, they'll look to put together a complete performance and build momentum. It's been a difficult season for SC Upstate at 12-18 (9-5). Traveling to face Radford presents a significant challenge, though every game is a chance to build for the future. When these teams meet, the home team typically has the edge given the crowd advantage and familiarity factor. The team that controls tempo and limits turnovers will likely dictate the outcome of this matchup.

Matchup Edges

Radford

Advantages

  • Home court advantage and crowd support
  • Strong offense averaging 81.9 PPG
  • Familiarity with home venue and routines

Disadvantages

  • Defense allows 78.1 PPG — a vulnerability
  • Potential for inconsistency in key moments

SC Upstate

Advantages

  • Potent offense averaging 75.2 PPG
  • Nothing to lose as the visiting team
  • Road underdog motivation — play with less pressure

Disadvantages

  • Playing on the road without home crowd support
  • Struggling with a 12-18 (9-5) record this season