Saint Francis Red Flash vs Stonehill Skyhawks

This NCAAB matchup features Saint Francis Red Flash (7-22 (5-8)) traveling to take on Stonehill Skyhawks (10-19 (7-4)) at Merkert Gymnasium, South Easton, MA. The Stonehill hold a clear statistical edge this season, outperforming the Saint Francis by 5.6 points per game in scoring margin. That differential will be a key factor in this matchup. Stonehill averages 65.0 points per game, but they face a Saint Francis defense that holds opponents to 80.6 PPG. The visitors' defensive prowess could limit the home team's scoring output. The Saint Francis offense puts up 71.6 PPG and faces a Stonehill defense allowing 68.4 PPG. The visitors have the offensive firepower to stay in this one. Home court advantage is worth approximately 3.5 points in NCAAB, and Stonehill will look to leverage their home crowd. Our model projects Stonehill to win by approximately 5.4 points. The 68% confidence interval ranges from Stonehill winning by 18 to losing by 7. Our model aligns closely with the market on this one, suggesting the oddsmakers have priced this game efficiently. Look for small edges in the total and moneyline markets to capitalize on any remaining value.

Stonehill has struggled this season at 10-19 (7-4). The wins have been hard to come by, and the team is looking for answers on both ends of the floor. Home court advantage will be critical for any chance at pulling off an upset. It's been a difficult season for Saint Francis at 7-22 (5-8). Traveling to face Stonehill presents a significant challenge, though every game is a chance to build for the future. When these teams meet, the home team typically has the edge given the crowd advantage and familiarity factor. The team that controls tempo and limits turnovers will likely dictate the outcome of this matchup.