SharpBetz
NCAAB

South Dakota State Jackrabbits vs Kansas City Roos

Friday, February 27, 2026

Matchup Analysis

This NCAAB matchup features South Dakota State Jackrabbits (13-16 (9-4)) traveling to take on Kansas City Roos (4-24 (3-9)) at Swinney Center, Kansas City, MO. The S Dakota St hold a clear statistical edge this season, outperforming the Kansas City by 16.9 points per game in scoring margin. That differential will be a key factor in this matchup. Kansas City averages 69.9 points per game, but they face a S Dakota St defense that holds opponents to 73.0 PPG. The visitors' defensive prowess could limit the home team's scoring output. Meanwhile, S Dakota St scores 76.0 PPG but faces a Kansas City defense that limits opponents to 83.9 PPG. The home team's defensive effort could be the difference-maker. Home court advantage is worth approximately 3.5 points in NCAAB, and Kansas City will look to leverage their home crowd. Our model projects S Dakota St to win by approximately 6.4 points. The 68% confidence interval ranges from Kansas City winning by 6 to losing by 19. The market has this game at +12.5, but our model sees value on Kansas City with a 6.2-point edge. Our line: Kansas City +6.4. Combined with the total projection of 146 versus the market line of 151.5, there are opportunities to find value on both sides of this matchup.

Team Comparison

SDST S Dakota St
Stat
KC Kansas City
13-16 (9-4)
Record
4-24 (3-9)
Last 10
76.0
PPG
69.9
73.0
Opp PPG
83.9

Current Odds

Team Moneyline Spread Total
SDST South Dakota State Jackrabbits
-650 -11.5 O 147.5
KC Kansas City Roos
+470 +11.5 U 147.5
Source: Draft Kings Updated: Feb 26, 6:00 AM
Opening line: +11.5 / O/U 147.5

Model Projection

Team Moneyline Spread Total
SDST South Dakota State Jackrabbits
-184 -6.4 O 145.9
KC Kansas City Roos
+184 +6.4 U 145.9
Source: Model Updated: Feb 26, 11:32 PM

Our Picks

Spread
Kansas City (opened at +11.5)
57% Confidence

Play to +5.6

Total
Under (opened at 147.5)
61% Confidence

Play to 146.7

Recent Trends

Kansas City has struggled this season at 4-24 (3-9). The wins have been hard to come by, and the team is looking for answers on both ends of the floor. Home court advantage will be critical for any chance at pulling off an upset. It's been a difficult season for S Dakota St at 13-16 (9-4). Traveling to face Kansas City presents a significant challenge, though every game is a chance to build for the future. When these teams meet, the home team typically has the edge given the crowd advantage and familiarity factor. The team that controls tempo and limits turnovers will likely dictate the outcome of this matchup.

Matchup Edges

Kansas City

Advantages

  • Home court advantage and crowd support
  • Familiarity with home venue and routines

Disadvantages

  • Sub-.500 record at 4-24 (3-9) raises concerns
  • Defense allows 83.9 PPG — a vulnerability

S Dakota St

Advantages

  • Potent offense averaging 76.0 PPG
  • Nothing to lose as the visiting team
  • Road underdog motivation — play with less pressure

Disadvantages

  • Playing on the road without home crowd support
  • Struggling with a 13-16 (9-4) record this season