New Haven Chargers vs Wagner Seahawks

This NCAAB matchup features New Haven Chargers (13-16 (8-6)) traveling to take on Wagner Seahawks (11-16 (6-5)) at Spiro Sports Center, Staten Island, NY. These two teams are closely matched, with both squads posting similar scoring differentials this season. This projects as a competitive contest that could go either way. On offense, Wagner averages 71.8 points per game, which exceeds what the New Haven defense typically allows (66.6 PPG). That mismatch could give the home side opportunities to exploit. Meanwhile, New Haven scores 65.0 PPG but faces a Wagner defense that limits opponents to 73.1 PPG. The home team's defensive effort could be the difference-maker. Home court advantage is worth approximately 3.5 points in NCAAB, and Wagner will look to leverage their home crowd. Our model sees this as essentially a coin-flip game, projecting just a 2.3-point margin. Expect a tight finish. The 68% confidence interval ranges from Wagner winning by 15 to losing by 10. Our model aligns closely with the market on this one, suggesting the oddsmakers have priced this game efficiently. Look for small edges in the total and moneyline markets to capitalize on any remaining value.

Wagner has struggled this season at 11-16 (6-5). The wins have been hard to come by, and the team is looking for answers on both ends of the floor. Home court advantage will be critical for any chance at pulling off an upset. It's been a difficult season for New Haven at 13-16 (8-6). Traveling to face Wagner presents a significant challenge, though every game is a chance to build for the future. When these teams meet, the home team typically has the edge given the crowd advantage and familiarity factor. The team that controls tempo and limits turnovers will likely dictate the outcome of this matchup.