Florida A&M Rattlers vs Southern Jaguars

This NCAAB matchup features Florida A&M Rattlers (11-15 (7-4)) traveling to take on Southern Jaguars (13-14 (8-2)) at F.G. Clark Activity Center, Baton Rouge, LA. The Southern hold a clear statistical edge this season, outperforming the Florida A&M by 8.3 points per game in scoring margin. That differential will be a key factor in this matchup. On offense, Southern averages 80.6 points per game, which exceeds what the Florida A&M defense typically allows (75.8 PPG). That mismatch could give the home side opportunities to exploit. Meanwhile, Florida A&M scores 69.8 PPG but faces a Southern defense that limits opponents to 78.3 PPG. The home team's defensive effort could be the difference-maker. Home court advantage is worth approximately 3.5 points in NCAAB, and Southern will look to leverage their home crowd. Our model projects Southern to win by approximately 4.8 points. The 68% confidence interval ranges from Southern winning by 18 to losing by 8. The market has this game at -8.5, but our model sees value on Florida A&M with a 3.7-point edge. Our line: Southern -4.8. Combined with the total projection of 150 versus the market line of 147.5, there are opportunities to find value on both sides of this matchup.

Southern has struggled this season at 13-14 (8-2). The wins have been hard to come by, and the team is looking for answers on both ends of the floor. Home court advantage will be critical for any chance at pulling off an upset. It's been a difficult season for Florida A&M at 11-15 (7-4). Traveling to face Southern presents a significant challenge, though every game is a chance to build for the future. When these teams meet, the home team typically has the edge given the crowd advantage and familiarity factor. The team that controls tempo and limits turnovers will likely dictate the outcome of this matchup.