Fairleigh Dickinson Knights vs Le Moyne Dolphins
Friday, February 27, 2026
Matchup Analysis
This NCAAB matchup features Fairleigh Dickinson Knights (11-18 (8-6)) traveling to take on Le Moyne Dolphins (14-15 (8-3)) at Ted Grant Court, Syracuse, NY. These two teams are closely matched, with both squads posting similar scoring differentials this season. This projects as a competitive contest that could go either way.
On offense, Le Moyne averages 73.4 points per game, which exceeds what the FDU defense typically allows (69.8 PPG). That mismatch could give the home side opportunities to exploit. Meanwhile, FDU scores 67.9 PPG but faces a Le Moyne defense that limits opponents to 73.6 PPG. The home team's defensive effort could be the difference-maker.
Home court advantage is worth approximately 3.5 points in NCAAB, and Le Moyne will look to leverage their home crowd. Our model projects Le Moyne to win by approximately 4.5 points. The 68% confidence interval ranges from Le Moyne winning by 17 to losing by 8.
Our model aligns closely with the market on this one, suggesting the oddsmakers have priced this game efficiently. Look for small edges in the total and moneyline markets to capitalize on any remaining value.
Team Comparison
FDU FDU
Stat
LEM Le Moyne
11-18 (8-6)
Record
14-15 (8-3)
Last 10
67.9
PPG
73.4
69.8
Opp PPG
73.6
Current Odds
| Team | Moneyline | Spread | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| FDU Fairleigh Dickinson Knights | +170 | +4.5 ↓ | O 139.5 |
| LEM Le Moyne Dolphins | -205 | -4.5 ↑ | U 139.5 |
Source: Draft Kings Updated: Feb 27, 4:48 AM
Opening line: -5.5 / O/U 139.5
Model Projection
| Team | Moneyline | Spread | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| FDU Fairleigh Dickinson Knights | +188 | +4.5 | O 141.4 |
| LEM Le Moyne Dolphins | -188 | -4.5 | U 141.4 |
Source: Model Updated: Feb 26, 5:59 AM
Our Picks
Spread
Pass
Model: -4.5 | Edge below threshold
Total
Pass
Model: 141.4 | Edge below threshold
Recent Trends
Le Moyne has struggled this season at 14-15 (8-3). The wins have been hard to come by, and the team is looking for answers on both ends of the floor. Home court advantage will be critical for any chance at pulling off an upset.
It's been a difficult season for FDU at 11-18 (8-6). Traveling to face Le Moyne presents a significant challenge, though every game is a chance to build for the future.
When these teams meet, the home team typically has the edge given the crowd advantage and familiarity factor. The team that controls tempo and limits turnovers will likely dictate the outcome of this matchup.
Matchup Edges
Le Moyne
Advantages
- Home court advantage and crowd support
- Familiarity with home venue and routines
Disadvantages
- Sub-.500 record at 14-15 (8-3) raises concerns
- Potential for inconsistency in key moments
FDU
Advantages
- Nothing to lose as the visiting team
- Road underdog motivation — play with less pressure
Disadvantages
- Playing on the road without home crowd support
- Struggling with a 11-18 (8-6) record this season