Denver Pioneers vs Oral Roberts Golden Eagles
Friday, February 27, 2026
Matchup Analysis
This NCAAB matchup features Denver Pioneers (15-15 (9-5)) traveling to take on Oral Roberts Golden Eagles (7-22 (6-8)) at Mabee Center, Tulsa, OK. The Denver hold a clear statistical edge this season, outperforming the Oral Roberts by 8.0 points per game in scoring margin. That differential will be a key factor in this matchup.
Oral Roberts averages 71.6 points per game, but they face a Denver defense that holds opponents to 82.2 PPG. The visitors' defensive prowess could limit the home team's scoring output. The Denver offense puts up 83.4 PPG and faces a Oral Roberts defense allowing 78.3 PPG. The visitors have the offensive firepower to stay in this one.
Home court advantage is worth approximately 3.5 points in NCAAB, and Oral Roberts will look to leverage their home crowd. Our model sees this as essentially a coin-flip game, projecting just a 1.9-point margin. Expect a tight finish. The 68% confidence interval ranges from Oral Roberts winning by 11 to losing by 15.
Our model aligns closely with the market on this one, suggesting the oddsmakers have priced this game efficiently. Look for small edges in the total and moneyline markets to capitalize on any remaining value.
Team Comparison
DEN Denver
Stat
ORU Oral Roberts
15-15 (9-5)
Record
7-22 (6-8)
Last 10
83.4
PPG
71.6
82.2
Opp PPG
78.3
Current Odds
| Team | Moneyline | Spread | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| DEN Denver Pioneers | -198 | -4.5 | O 155.5 |
| ORU Oral Roberts Golden Eagles | +164 | +4.5 | U 155.5 |
Source: Draft Kings Updated: Feb 27, 4:48 AM
Opening line: +4.5 / O/U 155.5
Model Projection
| Team | Moneyline | Spread | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| DEN Denver Pioneers | -150 | -1.9 | O 155 |
| ORU Oral Roberts Golden Eagles | +150 | +1.9 | U 155 |
Source: Model Updated: Feb 26, 5:02 PM
Our Picks
Spread
Pass
Model: 1.9 | Edge below threshold
Total
Pass
Model: 155 | Edge below threshold
Recent Trends
Oral Roberts has struggled this season at 7-22 (6-8). The wins have been hard to come by, and the team is looking for answers on both ends of the floor. Home court advantage will be critical for any chance at pulling off an upset.
Denver sits at 15-15 (9-5) on the season. They've been competitive in most outings but have had their share of inconsistent performances. On the road, they'll need to bring their best effort to come away with a win.
When these teams meet, the home team typically has the edge given the crowd advantage and familiarity factor. The team that controls tempo and limits turnovers will likely dictate the outcome of this matchup.
Matchup Edges
Oral Roberts
Advantages
- Home court advantage and crowd support
- Familiarity with home venue and routines
Disadvantages
- Sub-.500 record at 7-22 (6-8) raises concerns
- Defense allows 78.3 PPG — a vulnerability
Denver
Advantages
- Potent offense averaging 83.4 PPG
- Nothing to lose as the visiting team
- Road underdog motivation — play with less pressure
Disadvantages
- Playing on the road without home crowd support
- Defense allows 82.2 PPG — exploitable