Boston University Terriers vs Lehigh Mountain Hawks
Sunday, February 22, 2026
Final Score Boston U 67 - Lehigh 70
Spread: W
Total: L
Matchup Analysis
This NCAAB matchup features Boston University Terriers (13-16 (8-5)) traveling to take on Lehigh Mountain Hawks (13-16 (9-4)) at Stabler Arena, Bethlehem, PA. The Boston U hold a clear statistical edge this season, outperforming the Lehigh by 4.0 points per game in scoring margin. That differential will be a key factor in this matchup.
Lehigh averages 72.6 points per game, but they face a Boston U defense that holds opponents to 74.7 PPG. The visitors' defensive prowess could limit the home team's scoring output. The Boston U offense puts up 76.6 PPG and faces a Lehigh defense allowing 74.8 PPG. The visitors have the offensive firepower to stay in this one.
Home court advantage is worth approximately 3.5 points in NCAAB, and Lehigh will look to leverage their home crowd. Our model sees this as essentially a coin-flip game, projecting just a 2.8-point margin. Expect a tight finish. The 68% confidence interval ranges from Lehigh winning by 16 to losing by 10.
Our model aligns closely with the market on this one, suggesting the oddsmakers have priced this game efficiently. Look for small edges in the total and moneyline markets to capitalize on any remaining value.
Team Comparison
BU Boston U
Stat
LEH Lehigh
13-16 (8-5)
Record
13-16 (9-4)
Last 10
76.6
PPG
72.6
74.7
Opp PPG
74.8
Current Odds
| Team | Moneyline | Spread | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| BU Boston University Terriers | -135 ↓ | -2.5 ↓ | O 141.5 |
| LEH Lehigh Mountain Hawks | +114 ↑ | +2.5 ↑ | U 141.5 |
Source: Draft Kings Updated: Feb 23, 3:22 AM
Opening line: +1.5 / O/U 143.5
Model Projection
| Team | Moneyline | Spread | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| BU Boston University Terriers | +143 | +2.8 | O 149.2 |
| LEH Lehigh Mountain Hawks | -143 | -2.8 | U 149.2 |
Source: Model Updated: Feb 22, 9:04 PM
Our Picks
Spread
W
Lehigh (opened at +1.5)
55% Confidence
Total
L
Over (opened at 143.5)
59% Confidence
Recent Trends
Lehigh has struggled this season at 13-16 (9-4). The wins have been hard to come by, and the team is looking for answers on both ends of the floor. Home court advantage will be critical for any chance at pulling off an upset.
It's been a difficult season for Boston U at 13-16 (8-5). Traveling to face Lehigh presents a significant challenge, though every game is a chance to build for the future.
When these teams meet, the home team typically has the edge given the crowd advantage and familiarity factor. The team that controls tempo and limits turnovers will likely dictate the outcome of this matchup.
Matchup Edges
Lehigh
Advantages
- Home court advantage and crowd support
- Familiarity with home venue and routines
Disadvantages
- Sub-.500 record at 13-16 (9-4) raises concerns
- Potential for inconsistency in key moments
Boston U
Advantages
- Potent offense averaging 76.6 PPG
- Nothing to lose as the visiting team
- Road underdog motivation — play with less pressure
Disadvantages
- Playing on the road without home crowd support
- Struggling with a 13-16 (8-5) record this season