Rhode Island Rams vs George Washington Revolutionaries
Wednesday, February 11, 2026
Final Score Rhode Island 70 - G Washington 75
Spread: W
Total: L
Matchup Analysis
This NCAAB matchup features Rhode Island Rams (14-10 (8-4)) traveling to take on George Washington Revolutionaries (14-11 (10-3)) at Charles E. Smith Center, Washington, DC. These two teams are closely matched, with both squads posting similar scoring differentials this season. This projects as a competitive contest that could go either way.
On offense, G Washington averages 76.2 points per game, which exceeds what the Rhode Island defense typically allows (71.2 PPG). That mismatch could give the home side opportunities to exploit. The Rhode Island offense puts up 76.7 PPG and faces a G Washington defense allowing 71.6 PPG. The visitors have the offensive firepower to stay in this one.
Home court advantage is worth approximately 3.5 points in NCAAB, and G Washington will look to leverage their home crowd. Our model projects G Washington to win by approximately 3.1 points. The 68% confidence interval ranges from G Washington winning by 16 to losing by 9.
Our model aligns closely with the market on this one, suggesting the oddsmakers have priced this game efficiently. Look for small edges in the total and moneyline markets to capitalize on any remaining value.
Team Comparison
URI Rhode Island
Stat
GW G Washington
14-10 (8-4)
Record
14-11 (10-3)
Last 10
76.7
PPG
76.2
71.2
Opp PPG
71.6
Current Odds
| Team | Moneyline | Spread | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| URI Rhode Island Rams | +195 ↑ | +5.5 ↑ | O 151.5 |
| GW George Washington Revolutionaries | -238 ↓ | -5.5 ↓ | U 151.5 |
Source: Draft Kings Updated: Feb 19, 8:09 PM
Opening line: -3.5 / O/U 149.5
Model Projection
| Team | Moneyline | Spread | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| URI Rhode Island Rams | +149 | +3.1 | O 152.9 |
| GW George Washington Revolutionaries | -149 | -3.1 | U 152.9 |
Source: Model Updated: Feb 19, 7:34 PM
Our Picks
Spread
W
G Washington (opened at -3.5)
55% Confidence
Total
L
Over (opened at 149.5)
64% Confidence
Recent Trends
G Washington enters at 14-11 (10-3), hovering around the .500 mark. They've shown flashes of strong play but haven't been able to sustain consistency. At home, they'll look to put together a complete performance and build momentum.
Rhode Island sits at 14-10 (8-4) on the season. They've been competitive in most outings but have had their share of inconsistent performances. On the road, they'll need to bring their best effort to come away with a win.
When these teams meet, the home team typically has the edge given the crowd advantage and familiarity factor. The team that controls tempo and limits turnovers will likely dictate the outcome of this matchup.
Matchup Edges
G Washington
Advantages
- Home court advantage and crowd support
- Strong offense averaging 76.2 PPG
- Familiarity with home venue and routines
Disadvantages
- Potential for inconsistency in key moments
Rhode Island
Advantages
- Potent offense averaging 76.7 PPG
- Nothing to lose as the visiting team
- Road underdog motivation — play with less pressure
Disadvantages
- Playing on the road without home crowd support
- Road fatigue and travel can impact energy levels