13 Purdue Boilermakers vs 7 Nebraska Cornhuskers

This NCAAB matchup features No. 13 Purdue Boilermakers (20-4 (11-2)) traveling to take on No. 7 Nebraska Cornhuskers (21-3 (12-2)) at Pinnacle Bank Arena, Lincoln, NE. These two teams are closely matched, with both squads posting similar scoring differentials this season. This projects as a competitive contest that could go either way. On offense, Nebraska averages 82.5 points per game, which exceeds what the Purdue defense typically allows (67.5 PPG). That mismatch could give the home side opportunities to exploit. The Purdue offense puts up 81.7 PPG and faces a Nebraska defense allowing 66.9 PPG. The visitors have the offensive firepower to stay in this one. Home court advantage is worth approximately 3.5 points in NCAAB, and Nebraska will look to leverage their home crowd. Our model projects Nebraska to win by approximately 5.1 points. The 68% confidence interval ranges from Nebraska winning by 18 to losing by 8. Our model aligns closely with the market on this one, suggesting the oddsmakers have priced this game efficiently. Look for small edges in the total and moneyline markets to capitalize on any remaining value.

Nebraska has been one of the more consistent teams this season with a 21-3 (12-2) record. Their 21-win campaign speaks to the quality of play they've maintained throughout the year. At home, the Nebraska have been particularly strong, using crowd energy and familiarity to their advantage. Purdue comes in with an impressive 20-4 (11-2) record. They've been among the best teams in their conference and are playing with the confidence of a squad that expects to win. Road games can be tricky, but this team has the poise to handle hostile environments. When these teams meet, the home team typically has the edge given the crowd advantage and familiarity factor. The team that controls tempo and limits turnovers will likely dictate the outcome of this matchup.