Portland Trail Blazers vs Chicago Bulls
Friday, February 27, 2026
Matchup Analysis
This NBA matchup features Portland Trail Blazers (29-31 (16-15)) traveling to take on Chicago Bulls (24-36 (15-17)) at United Center, Chicago, IL. These two teams are closely matched, with both squads posting similar scoring differentials this season. This projects as a competitive contest that could go either way.
Bulls averages 115.8 points per game, but they face a Trail Blazers defense that holds opponents to 118.2 PPG. The visitors' defensive prowess could limit the home team's scoring output. Meanwhile, Trail Blazers scores 115.8 PPG but faces a Bulls defense that limits opponents to 120.5 PPG. The home team's defensive effort could be the difference-maker.
Home court advantage is worth approximately 3.0 points in NBA, and Bulls will look to leverage their home crowd. Our model sees this as essentially a coin-flip game, projecting just a 1.1-point margin. Expect a tight finish. The 68% confidence interval ranges from Bulls winning by 16 to losing by 14.
The market has this game at +3.5, but our model sees value on Bulls with a 4.6-point edge. Our line: Bulls -1.1. Combined with the total projection of 232 versus the market line of 235.5, there are opportunities to find value on both sides of this matchup.
Team Comparison
POR Trail Blazers
Stat
CHI Bulls
29-31 (16-15)
Record
24-36 (15-17)
Last 10
115.8
PPG
115.8
118.2
Opp PPG
120.5
Current Odds
| Team | Moneyline | Spread | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| POR Portland Trail Blazers | -180 | -4.5 | O 235.5 |
| CHI Chicago Bulls | +150 | +4.5 | U 235.5 |
Source: Draft Kings Updated: Feb 26, 5:58 AM
Opening line: +4.5 / O/U 235.5
Model Projection
| Team | Moneyline | Spread | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| POR Portland Trail Blazers | -124 | +1.1 | O 231.6 |
| CHI Chicago Bulls | +124 | -1.1 | U 231.6 |
Source: Model Updated: Feb 27, 4:46 AM
Injury-adjusted spread: -1.1
Injury-adjusted total: 231.6
Our Picks
Spread
Bulls (opened at +4.5)
54% Confidence
Play to -2
Total
Pass
Model: 231.6 | Edge below threshold
Injury Calculator
Updated Feb 27, 4:46 AM
Toggle player statuses to see how injuries affect the projected spread and total.
Adjusted Projection
Spread
Base model-1.1
Injury adj.0
Adjusted-1.1
Play to-2
Total
Base model231.6
Injury adj.0
Adjusted231.6
Recent Trends
Bulls has struggled this season at 24-36 (15-17). The wins have been hard to come by, and the team is looking for answers on both ends of the floor. Home court advantage will be critical for any chance at pulling off an upset.
It's been a difficult season for Trail Blazers at 29-31 (16-15). Traveling to face Bulls presents a significant challenge, though every game is a chance to build for the future.
When these teams meet, the home team typically has the edge given the crowd advantage and familiarity factor. The team that controls tempo and limits turnovers will likely dictate the outcome of this matchup.
Matchup Edges
Bulls
Advantages
- Home court advantage and crowd support
- Strong offense averaging 115.8 PPG
- Familiarity with home venue and routines
Disadvantages
- Sub-.500 record at 24-36 (15-17) raises concerns
- Defense allows 120.5 PPG — a vulnerability
Trail Blazers
Advantages
- Potent offense averaging 115.8 PPG
- Nothing to lose as the visiting team
- Road underdog motivation — play with less pressure
Disadvantages
- Playing on the road without home crowd support
- Struggling with a 29-31 (16-15) record this season