Anaheim Ducks vs Nashville Predators
Friday, April 17, 2026
Matchup Analysis
This NHL matchup features Anaheim Ducks (42-33-6 (24-13-4)) traveling to take on Nashville Predators (38-33-10 (21-16-3)) at Bridgestone Arena, Nashville, TN. Both teams enter with comparable scoring margins, making this one of the more balanced matchups on the board. When two teams are this close statistically, home court and situational factors become the tiebreaker.
Goal-scoring could be a challenge for Predators (2.9 GPG) against Ducks goaltending allowing just 3.5 GA/G. The home team will need to generate high-quality chances to beat this goaltender. Meanwhile, Ducks scores 3.2 GPG but faces Predators goaltending that limits opponents to 3.2 GA/G. The home team's netminding could be the difference-maker.
The 3.0-goal Home ice advantage in NHL is baked into our model, and Predators will aim to make that factor count with crowd energy. Our model has this nearly dead even at 0.9 goals. These razor-thin margins mean the game will likely come down to goaltending and special teams execution. The 68% confidence interval ranges from Predators winning by 3 to losing by 2.
Our model favors Predators on the moneyline at -110, projecting a 65% win probability. Hockey's tight margins make the moneyline the sharpest angle in this matchup rather than the puck line.
Team Comparison
ANA Ducks
Stat
NSH Predators
42-33-6 (24-13-4)
Record
38-33-10 (21-16-3)
Last 10
3.2
PPG
2.9
3.5
Opp PPG
3.2
Current Odds
| Team | Moneyline | Spread | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| ANA Anaheim Ducks | -110 | -1.5 | O 6.5 |
| NSH Nashville Predators | -110 | +1.5 | U 6.5 |
Source: Draft Kings Updated: Apr 16, 5:32 AM
Opening line: +1.5 / O/U 6.5
Model Projection
| Team | Moneyline | Spread | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| ANA Anaheim Ducks | +188 | +0.9 | O 6.1 |
| NSH Nashville Predators | -188 | -0.9 | U 6.1 |
Source: Model Updated: Apr 16, 5:32 AM
Our Picks
Spread
Pass
Model: -0.9 | Edge below threshold
Total
Pass
Model: 6.1 | Edge below threshold
Recent Trends
Predators enters at 38-33-10 (21-16-3), hovering around the .500 mark. They've shown flashes of strong play but haven't been able to sustain consistency. At home, they'll look to put together a complete performance and build momentum.
Ducks sits at 42-33-6 (24-13-4) on the season. They've been competitive in most outings but have had their share of inconsistent performances. On the road, they'll need to bring their best effort to come away with a win.
When these teams meet, the home team typically has the edge given the crowd advantage and familiarity factor. The team that controls tempo and limits turnovers will likely dictate the outcome of this matchup.
Matchup Edges
Predators
Advantages
- Playing at home with home ice energy and familiarity
- Dominant power play converting at 2255.3%
- Strong penalty kill at 8166.7%
Disadvantages
- Goaltending concerns with a 0.898 save percentage
- Potential for inconsistency in key moments
Ducks
Advantages
- Dangerous power play at 1860.5%
- Reliable penalty kill at 7686.3%
- Road underdog motivation — play with less pressure
Disadvantages
- Playing on the road without home crowd support
- Goaltending allows 3.5 GPG — exploitable