Richmond Spiders vs Southern Illinois Salukis
Friday, November 13, 2026
Matchup Analysis
Richmond’s superior shooting profile dominates this matchup. The Spiders convert at a 49.275 % clip from beyond the arc while the Salukis manage only 38.71 % from three; overall field‑goal efficiency follows the same pattern, with Richmond posting 57.292 % versus Southern Illinois’ 47.727 %. The disparity in clean‑shooting gives the Richmond offense a clear edge in a venue that favors precision.
Scoring margin data underscores that edge. Southern Illinois averages 87.5 points while allowing 70.0, a net margin of 17.5. Richmond, by contrast, puts up 95.333 points and yields just 58.667, producing a margin of 36.667. The resulting gap of –19.167 points highlights the Spiders’ ability to outscore opponents by a wide brush, reinforcing the expectation that Richmond will control the tempo and the scoreboard.
The Salukis’ ATS trend adds a nuance. Against teams below .500 they are 32‑8 straight up, a win‑pct of 0.8 across a sample size of 40. While impressive in that specific slice, the record reflects performance against lower‑tier competition and does not translate directly to a matchup with an undefeated Richmond squad.
Pick Richmond at -162 – a play.
Team Comparison
Current Odds
| Team | Moneyline | Spread | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| RICH Richmond Spiders | -162 | -3.5 | O 154.5 |
| SIU Southern Illinois Salukis | +136 | +3.5 | U 154.5 |
Model Projection
| Team | Moneyline | Spread | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| RICH Richmond Spiders | -254 | -5.8 | O 182.8 |
| SIU Southern Illinois Salukis | +254 | +5.8 | U 182.8 |
Our Picks
Key Matchup Factors
Key Matchup Factors:
- Market Total Signal (+154.50): This factor contributes +154.50 to the projection, favoring S Illinois.
- Combined Tempo (+77.88): This factor contributes +77.88 to the projection, favoring S Illinois.
- SOS-Adjusted Margin (-20.55): This factor contributes -20.55 to the projection, favoring Richmond.
- Scoring Margin Differential (-19.17): Richmond's scoring margin advantage of 19.17 points per game is one of the strongest statistical signals in this matchup.
Recent Trends
S Illinois Trends:
- Southern Illinois Salukis is 32-8 straight up vs teams below .500
- The over is 2-8 in Southern Illinois Salukis's games at home as a favorite
- The over is 1-5 in Southern Illinois Salukis's games at home after a loss
- The over is 2-8 in Southern Illinois Salukis's games favorite
- Southern Illinois Salukis is 8-2 straight up on a 3+ game losing streak
Richmond Trends:
- Richmond Spiders is 0-5 straight up on a 3+ game losing streak
- Richmond Spiders is 5-1 ATS after a loss
- Richmond Spiders is 4-14 straight up after a loss vs a winning team
- Richmond Spiders is 7-2 ATS on the road as an underdog
- Richmond Spiders is 4-1 straight up on the road on a back-to-back
Matchup Edges
S Illinois
Advantages
- Home court advantage worth 3.5 points in our model
- Strong offense averaging 87.5 PPG
- 7-day rest advantage over opponent's 5 days
- Market Total Signal contributes +154.50 points to home projection
Disadvantages
- Opponent's 95.3 PPG offense exceeds home defense (70.0 PPG) by 25.3
- Model win probability of only 28% despite home advantage
- Model sees 2.3-point edge favoring the away side
Richmond
Advantages
- Strong 3-0 (2-0) record (100% win rate) this season
- Potent offense averaging 95.3 PPG
- Stout defense allowing just 58.7 PPG
- On a 3-game winning streak with rising confidence
- SOS-Adjusted Margin contributes -20.55 points favoring away
Disadvantages
- Playing on the road, sacrificing 3.5 point of home court advantage
- Road win rate of only 25% away from home
- Facing a home offense (87.5 PPG) that exceeds road defense (58.7 PPG) by 28.8